The Bearcats are a team built on defense. They allow a mere 11.7 points per game, and they’re doing it against very good offenses as well. In the last three weeks alone, UC has held Houston, Memphis and SMU to less than 14 points each. The defense is led by the secondary, which concedes just 205 yards passing per outing, and under 100 yards on the ground. ECU’s offense isn’t particularly good and hasn’t faced a defense half as good as the Bearcats so far in 2020. The Cincinnati offense has come alive over the last three weeks, averaging 43 points per game behind quarterback Desmond Ridder.
East Carolina was supposed to take a step forward this year under second-year head coach Mike Houston, but it hasn’t clicked as of yet. The defense allows close to 40 points per game. The offense has improved, and they were robbed of a win by the officials at Tulsa earlier this season, but they shouldn’t be any match for an elite Cincy defensive unit.
Game Time/TV Channel/Streaming
You can watch East Carolina vs. Cincinnati on Friday, November 13th at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN2, or you can stream it via the ESPN app with a cable or streaming service login.
Point Spread, Totals, Odds, Trends
Point spread: East Carolina vs. Cincinnati (-28)
Point Total: 55
Money line: East Carolina +1100 vs Cincinnati -10000
- The total has gone over in nine of ECU’s last 12 games
- ECU is 3-7 ATS in its last 10
- Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last five
- The total has gone under in 10 of Cincinnati’s last 12 games.
ECU: (17% of handle, 27% percent of bets)
CIN: (83% of handle, 73% percent of bets)
The Best Bet
Three weeks ago, this game had the under written all over it. We know ECU will have a tough time against the Bearcats. But thanks to QB Desmond Ridder taking it to another level over the last few weeks, 55 isn’t an unreasonable total for this matchup.
Pick: Over 55
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