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First look at NBA Rookie of the Year odds post-draft

LaMelo Ball comes in as the favorite to take home the award in 2020-21. Which players present solid value?

NBA Commissioner, Adam Silver reacts to the Charlotte Hornets number three overall pick of Lamelo Ball during the 2020 NBA Draft on November 18, 2020 in Bristol, Connecticut at ESPN Headquarters. Photo by Nathaniel S. Butler/NBAE via Getty Images

The 2020 NBA Draft was filled with excitement despite being held virtually at ESPN’s headquarters on Wednesday night. We saw a few surprises in the first round, but other than that, it was pretty cut and dry. The Timberwolves made Anthony Edwards the latest No. 1 overall pick in NBA history. The Hornets snagged LaMelo Ball with the third pick, which they were probably more than happy about. The Warriors got some bad news on Klay Thompson but also picked up a potential franchise center in James Wiseman. The Knicks actually made a pick that made sense!

So now that we know where each player is going to be playing next season, let’s take a look at the opening NBA Rookie of the Year odds on DraftKings Sportsbook.

There are a handful of surprises with the odds. The first is that Toppin has the third-best odds to win ROTY along with Wiseman. My guess is this is more of a play to get sucker Knicks fans to bet on Toppin to win the award (just kidding). Toppin went to a good situation in New York, where he should be able to pick up minutes right away. Wiseman is in a similar situation and with Thompson likely out for the season again, the Dubs could lean on the young center for minutes.

Hayes and Haliburton are my favorite mid-range bets. Both went to good situations where they could potentially start right away. The Kings may lose Bogdan Bogdanovic and Buddy Hield (either via free agency or trades). That could open up a backcourt spot for Haliburton, who dropped down to No. 12 for whatever reason. Hayes on Detroit is the perfect match. The Pistons have very little talent, particularly at guard. Behind Derrick Rose and Svi Mykhailiuk, Hayes is the only other true guard on the roster before free agency.

Looking further down, it’s surprising to see Kira Lewis Jr. with the same odds as the No. 4 overall pick in Williams. The Pelicans have a ton of guards. Eric Bledsoe, George Hill, JJ Redick, Lonzo Ball, Josh Hart. I don’t really see a clear path to playing time for the Bama product. I think down the line Lewis will be a great player for NOLA. Right now? He may be buried on the depth chart a bit.

At the bottom of this list is Tyrese Maxey, who we know if from Kentucky, so chances are he ends up being solid. The Sixers needed more shooters and have added plenty of them over the past few days. Maxey could play his way into the starting lineup if he’s good enough. Worst case he’s getting some time off the bench and could end up being similar to Tyler Herro from last season — same goes for Quickley on the Knicks.

LaMelo Ball, CHA: +400
Anthony Edwards, MIN: +450
Obi Toppin, NYK: +600
James Wiseman, GSW: +600
Killian Hayes, DET: +700
Deni Avdija, WAS: +1400
Tyrese Haliburton, SAC: +1400
Onyeka Okongwu, ATL: +1600
Isaac Okoro, CLE: +1600
Kira Lewis Jr., NOP: +3300
Patrick Williams, CHI: +3300
RJ Hampton, DEN: +5000
Aleksej Pokusevski, OKC: +5000
Immanuel Quickley, NYK: +5000
Devin Vassell, SAS: +5000
Precious Achiuwa, MIA: +6000
Cole Anthony, ORL: +6000
Malachi Flynn, TOR: +6000
Josh Green, DAL: +6000
Tyrese Maxey, PHI: +6000

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