The NFL kicks off Week 11 with a potential barnburner on Thursday Night Football. We get an NFC West showdown featuring the 6-3 Seattle Seahawks hosting the 6-3 Arizona Cardinals. This game is a rematch of their Week 7 thriller that saw Arizona come from behind to win in overtime.
So where are sports bettors going as we get closer to game time? Let’s take a look. All odds and info were provided by DraftKings Sportsbook.
The Seahawks opened as 3.5-point favorites but the line moved down to 2.5 where it sits on game day. Even with the line moving in Arizona’s favor, the betting public is backing Seattle. 70 percent of point spread handle and 56 percent of point spread bets are on Seattle to cover.
Is the public right? If you could get in on Cardinals -3.5 or even -3, you were in good shape. At 2.5 there is not a lot of value to be had on Arizona. Much of this money likely came in before the line dropped below the magic number so in that case the public is a bit off. This is likely going down to the wire, so if you like Seattle, now’s the time to grab them.
DraftKings set this point total at 56.5 and it has climbed to 57 as of game day. It’s the biggest of Week 11, and that’s not surprising. We have two explosive offenses facing two defenses that are less than stellar. Add in Seattle dealing with secondary injuries and a shootout could be in the cards. The betting public thinks as much, with 75 percent of handle and 73 percent of bets on the over.
Is the public right? Yes, the public is correct. NFC West matchups also seem to get a little crazy, but the injury report coupled with these two offenses makes the over the smarter bet.
Arizona’s moneyline odds opened at +155 and sit at +130 on game day, while Seattle’s moneyline odds opened at -195 and sit at -148 on game day. The DraftKings Sportsbook bettors hitting the moneyline are narrowly backing the Cardinals, with 51 percent of handle and 57 percent of bets on the road dog.
Is the public right? I think there’s some value to be had in Arizona. A road divisional game is tough and Seattle really needs this one given their recent struggles — three losses in four weeks — but secondary injuries and Chris Carson’s likely absence could be problematic. The value is on Arizona, especially if you got them earlier in the week.
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