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On Friday night the 1-7 Syracuse Orange travel to Kentucky to take on the 2-6 Louisville Cardinals in a battle of two of the worst ACC teams this season.
This game has massive ‘why are you watching this?’ energy. Syracuse is the third worst Power 5 team in the nation, according to SP+. Offensively, the Orange is ranked 115th in the nation by that same metric. Dino Babers’ crew has only scored more than 24 points one time this season, and even then the defense did a majority of the work. The one bright spot for the team is its ability to create takeaways. The defense gives up a lot of points, over 30 per game, but they’ve taken the ball away 17 times, which is tied for the best in the ACC. That could be a hinge point against a Louisville team that’s coughed up the ball 18 times this year.
The Cardinals’ offense scores about 10 more points per game than the Orange, and the defense gives up a couple points less than its opponent this week. Lamar Jackson’s alma mater is particularly good at scoring once it gets within the 20, scoring points in all but three trips to the red zone this season, including 19 touchdowns. The defense shouldn’t have too many issues containing the Syracuse offense. It will all come down to turnovers.
Game Time/TV Channel/Streaming
You can watch Syracuse vs. Louisville on Friday, November 20th at 7:00 p.m. ET on ESPN, or you can stream it via the ESPN app with a cable or streaming service login.
Point Spread, Totals, Odds, Trends
Point spread: Syracuse vs. Louisville (-19)
Point Total: 56
Money line: Syracuse (+650) vs. Louisville (-1115)
- Betters win recently when betting the over on a Syracuse game, its hit eight times in the team’s last 12 games
- The Orange are 1-5 ATS the last six times these two teams have met
- The over seems safe for Louisville too, the total has eclipsed the line 10 out of the team’s last 13 games
- Every game the Cardinals have played at home this season has hit the over.
Betting splits
Syracuse: (63% of handle, 63% percent of bets)
Louisville: (37% of handle, 37% percent of bets)
The Best Bet
Syracuse is really bad, and most teams would be able to easily hit the over. But Louisville turns the ball over a lot and that’s the one thing ‘Cuse is able to do very well. The Cards will still win, but they won’t score enough points to hit the over.
Pick: Under 56
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