While Arkansas State has struggled within the conference this season, it does feature a capable offense. The unit ranks 78th overall in success rate entering the week with reigning Sun Belt Freshman of the Year Layne Hatcher and junior Logan Bonner leading a passing game that comes in at No. 50 nationally.
That aerial assault could give Texas State and its defense fits throughout the afternoon. The unit ranks 101th in success rate and 105th specifically against the pass. That weakness should open plenty of opportunities for Hatcher and Bonner to exploit and could lead to big days for senior receivers Jonathan Adams Jr., Dahu Green, and Brandon Bowling. Each of the three currently ranks among the top 10 in yards per game within the conference.
For the Bobcats to keep the game within reach, quarterback Brady McBride will need to provide better play than he has earlier in the season. The sophomore shared responsibilities with Tyler Vitt until the latter dislocated his wrist a week ago.
Game Time/TV Channel/Streaming
You can watch Arkansas State versus Texas State on Saturday, Nov. 21 at 3:00 p.m. ET on ESPN3, or you can stream it via the ESPN app with a cable or streaming service login.
Point Spread, Totals, Odds, Trends
Point spread: Arkansas State (-6) vs. Texas State
Point Total: 67.5
Money line: Arkansas State (-205) vs. Texas State (+160)
- Since 2015, Arkansas State owns a 19-16-0 record against the spread on the road and an 11-8-0 record as a road favorite.
- Also since the start of 2015, the Red Wolves also have an over record of 16-19-0 on the road and 10-9-0 as a road favorite.
- Meanwhile, Texas State has not performed as well against the spread since 2015, going 13-20-1 at home and 8-13-0 as a home underdog.
- Likewise, the Bobcats have missed the over fairly frequently over that span, posting an over record of 15-18-0 at home and 8-13-0 as a home underdog.
Arkansas State: (92% of handle, 81% percent of bets)
Texas State: (8% of handle, 19% percent of bets)
The Best Bet
Arkansas State has a good track record as the road favorite and Texas State does not appear to have a defense capable of slowing down that offense.
Pick: Arkansas State -6
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