The No. 7 Cincinnati Bearcats own a perfect record and one of the premier defenses in the nation. In order to secure a trip to a New Year’s Six bowl or perhaps even the college football playoff, they need to first topple the UCF Knights and their high-scoring offense.
Cincinnati head coach Luke Fickell has delivered one of the most impressive coaching performances of the 2020 season. Not only do the Bearcats have a spotless 7-0 record, but none of their games also featured a margin of victory smaller than 14 points. Opponents haven’t reached the 20-point threshold since the season opener, and the schedule included matchups with multiple ranked opponents and quality non-ranked teams. Other than the BYU Cougars, no team outside the Power 5 has made as strong a case for playoff consideration as Cincinnati.
But despite the Bearcats’ season-long dominance, the Knights have the means to pull the upset. After a slow start to the year, UCF has found its rhythm, scoring 38 or more points in four consecutive outings. Quarterback Dillon Gabriel has posted a stat line not seen in Orlando since McKenzie Milton, throwing for 2,774 yards, 23 touchdowns, and just two picks on the year. The offense currently ranks 20th nationally in success rate and will provide one of the biggest challenges Cincinnati’s defense has seen.
Game Time/TV Channel/Streaming
You can watch No. 7 Cincinnati versus UCF on Saturday, Nov. 21 at 3:30 p.m. ET on ESPN, or you can stream it via the ESPN app with a cable or streaming service login.
Point Spread, Totals, Odds, Trends
Point spread: Cincinnati (-6) vs. UCF
Point Total: 66.5
Money line: Cincinnati -215, UCF +170
- Since 2015, Cincinnati has a 16-15-0 record against the spread on the road as well as a 5-7-0 record as the road favorite.
- The Bearcats have more interesting splits when it comes to point totals over the same span, posting an over record of 10-20-1 on the road but a 7-5 record as a road favorite.
- Meanwhile, UCF has a 17-19-0 record against the spread at home since 2015 and has gone 1-4-0 as the home underdog.
- UCF also has an over record of 16-20-0 at home and 2-3-0 as a home underdog over the same stretch.
Cincinnati: (82% of handle, 86% percent of bets)
UCF: (18% of handle, 14% percent of bets)
The Best Bet
Even with Cincinnati’s defense, UCF will still put up plenty of points. The Bearcats should put up a fair showing in that regard as well.
Pick: Over 66.5
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