Penn State has been a total mess so far this season. After an upset overtime loss to the Indiana Hoosiers, they got stomped against Ohio State and Maryland in consecutive weeks. But they ultimate indignity was getting beat by Nebraska last week after having a furious second half comeback fall just short. The big reason for failure is turnovers, giving the ball away nine times through just four games. Even without the giveaways, the offense hasn’t been that great to begin with, with a struggling run game and inconsistent quarterback play.
They’ll face a big test Saturday as they take on an Iowa defensive unit that has only allowed more than seven points twice this season and has allowed 14 points combined in its last two outings. The Hawkeyes take the ball away a lot too, which doesn’t bode well for the Nittany Lions. Kirk Ferentz and his squad have 10 takeaways on the season, most of which come via the interception. Penn State Quarterback Sean Clifford has six picks this year already, to just nine touchdown passes.
The Hawkeyes offense has found its stride over the last two weeks, scoring 35 and 42 points in that span. Granted, those games were against weaker defenses, but Penn State’s defense hasn’t been anything special so far this year allowing close to 35 points per game.
Game Time/TV Channel/Streaming
You can watch Iowa vs. Penn State on Saturday, November 21st at 3:30 p.m. ET on the Big Ten Network, or you can stream it via the Fox Sports Go app with a cable or streaming service login.
Point Spread, Totals, Odds, Trends
Point spread: Iowa (-1.5) vs. Penn State
Point Total: 46.5
Money line: Iowa (-120) vs. Penn State (+100)
- Don’t expect a ton of points from these teams, the total has gone under in 10 of Iowa’s last 13 conference games
- Iowa is 1-5 ATS in its last six against Penn State, but the Nittany Lions are 1-5 ATS in its last six games overall.
- The Nittany Lions are 0-7 ATS in its last seven games at home and Iowa has hit the under in five of its last six away from Kinnick Stadium.
Iowa: (90% of handle, 86% percent of bets)
Penn State: (10% of handle, 14% percent of bets)
The Best Bet
Penn State’s offense has had a hard time getting anything going thanks to a ton of turnovers throughout the first four weeks of the season. Against the Hawkeyes defense, it’s going to be even harder for them. And Iowa’s offense won’t do anything insane either, so the point total is the best bet here.
Pick: Under 46.5
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