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How public is betting and DFS considerations for Antonina Shevchenko vs. Ariane Lipski

Antonina Shevchenko and Ariane Lipski meet at women’s flyweight during UFC 255 on November 21st. We break down how the betting public is picking the fight and the DFS pricing from DraftKings.

Antonina Shevchenko of Kyrgyzstan punches Katlyn Chookagian in their flyweight fight during the UFC Fight Night event at UFC APEX on May 30, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC

In a women’s flyweight bout for UFC 255, Antonina Shevchenko will battle Ariane Lipski on the preliminary card Saturday live from Las Vegas and available on ESPN+.

The 35-year-old Shevchenko is entering this fight as the favorite, with a professional fighting record of 8-2. Her sister, Valentina Shevchenko is the champion of the women’s flyweight division and will be competing in the co-main event.

“Pantera” is ranked #15 in the UFC women’s flyweight rankings. Earlier this year at UFC on ESPN 9, she lost to Katlyn Chookagian by unanimous decision. The last time she won a match was in August 2019 at UFC on ESPN 5. Shevchenko defeated Lucie Pudilova in Round 2 using a rear-naked choke.

Shevchenko averages 4.09 significant strikes per 15 minutes with 54 percent accuracy. She also absorbs 2.66 strikes per minute but defends them at 55 percent.

As for Lipski, she is walking into the UFC APEX with a professional fighting record of 13-5. The 26-year-old Brazilian fighter is currently on a two-game winning streak, with her latest win happening this summer. In July at UFC Fight Night 172, “The Queen of Violence” defeated Luana Carolina.

In her career, Lipski is averaging 3.34 strikes landed per 15 minutes with an accuracy of 31 percent, and absorbs at 4.52 strikes per minute.

Here are the odds and betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Antonina Shevchenko vs. Ariane Lipski at UFC 255 on November 21st.

Odds and Betting splits

Antonina Shevchenko: -167, (43% of action, 60% of bets)
Ariane Lipski: +130, (57% of action, 40% of bets)

Winning Method Splits

Ariane Lipski By KO, TKO or DQ: +800, (4% of action, 3% of bets)
Antonina Shevchenko By KO, TKO or DQ: 12% of action, 7% of bets)
Ariane Lipski By Submission: +650, (22% of action, 9% of bets)
Antonina Shevchenko By Decision: +100, (34% of action, 22% of bets)
Ariane Lipski By Decision: +250, (3% of action, 12% of bets)

DraftKings DFS Values

Antonina Shevchenko: $8,400
Ariane Lipski: $7,800

The betting line predicts this match to be close between the ranked Shevchenko and Lipski. And when it comes to DFS, it appears to be the same thing. Shevchenko is averaging 52.9 fantasy points per fight, while Lipski is averaging 56.6 fantasy points.

That being said, if I had to make a choice between the two, I’d pick “The Queen of Violence.” She’s show improvement in her last two fights, scoring 66.5 and 91.5 fantasy points.

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