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How public is betting and DFS considerations for Daniel Rodriguez vs. Nicolas Dalby

Daniel Rodriguez and Nicolas Dalby meet at welterweight during UFC 255 on November 21st. We break down how the betting public is picking the fight and the DFS pricing from DraftKings.

Nicolas Dalby of Denmark punches Jesse Ronson of Canada in their welterweight fight during the UFC Fight Night event inside Flash Forum on UFC Fight Island on July 26, 2020 in Yas Island, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

The last of three welterweight bouts on the preliminary card at UFC 255 pairs impressive Californian Daniel Rodriguez against Denmark’s Nicolas Darby live from the UFC APEX and available on ESPN+.

Rodriguez has a 13-1 career record in MMA, has won nine fights in a row, and is 4-0 in a UFC octagon counting his Dana White’s Contender Series win in July of 2019. “D-Rod” lands a whopping 8.46 strikes per minute, but also gets hit a ton with 7.14 taken as well. 11 of his 13 career victories are by stoppage, including seven by knockout.

He KO’d Dwight Grant in just 144 seconds in his last octagon appearance on August 22nd. A big win for Rodriguez will get him in the mix for a Top 15 slot at 170 lbs.

Dalby is 18-3-1 with two no contests, and at 36 years old he’ll want to make the most of his second-stint in the UFC. He was 1-2-1 from 2015-18 before being released, and is 1-0 with a no contest since his return in September of 2019. He’s yet to earn a stoppage in the black octagon, and will be a significant underdog to do so Saturday night.

Here are the odds and betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Daniel Rodriguez vs. Nicolas Dalby at UFC 255 on November 21st.

Odds and Betting splits

Daniel Rodriguez: -335, (80% of action, 92% of bets)
Nicolas Dalby: +250, (20% of action, 8% of bets)

Winning Method Splits

Daniel Rodriguez By KO, TKO or DQ -112 47% of action, 54% of bets
Daniel Rodriguez By Decision +250 3% of action, 12% of bets
Daniel Rodriguez By Submission +1300 25% of action, 16% of bets

Nicolas Dalby By KO, TKO or DQ +1000 2% of action, 3% of bets
Nicolas Dalby By Decision +500 0% of action, 6% of bets

DraftKings DFS Values

Daniel Rodriguez: $9,100
Nicolas Dalby: $7,100

Rodriguez with his hyper-aggressive style is a fantasy points machine, averaging 119 points in his three main roster UFC bouts. He should have a significant advantage here not reflected in the pricing, and is one of the best values on the card.

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