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How and what to watch for No. 15 Iowa State vs. No. 20 Texas

Texas is still on the outside looking in of the Big 12 title race, but this game could get them right back in the hunt

The Texas Longhorns take the field during the game against the West Virginia Mountaineers at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium on November 07, 2020 in Austin, Texas. Photo by Tim Warner/Getty Images

The 5-2 Texas Longhorns are looking to catapult themselves back into the Big 12 title discussion when they welcome the 6-2 Iowa State Cyclones to Austin on Friday afternoon.

This isn’t the Texas team we’ve come accustomed to over the last few years. The record may be the same, but this isn’t a team that’s going to score at-will on its opponent. The ‘Horns have been held under 30 points in two of their last three games, but finding ways to win after falling in consecutive weeks at the start of October. The Longhorns don’t get a ton of explosive plays up and down the field.

The offense is ranked 90th in the nation in terms of chunk plays, only getting them 11% of the time. Those plays may be even harder to come by up against a Cyclones defense that is the 24th best in the nation in limiting a big play. Quarterback Sam Ehlinger has been decent with his arm, throwing for 22 scores and five interceptions, but he’s emerged with his legs this year as well and is the team’s leading rusher with seven rushing touchdowns.

The Iowa State offense has a solid signal-caller of its own in Brock Purdy. While his accolades don’t jump off the page like Ehlinger’s, he’s been solid and a good compliment to Iowa State’s elite running back Breece Hall. Thanks to Hall, ISU is a top-15 team in its ability to stay ahead of the chains on first and second down. It also gets a ton of running plays of 12+ yards. Though Texas is good at stopping those, limiting opponents to big plays on the ground to just 7% of the time.

Game Time/TV Channel/Streaming

You can watch No. 15 Iowa State vs. No. 20 Texas on Friday, November 27th at 12:00 p.m. ET on ABC, or you can stream it via the ESPN app or on ABC livestreaming with a cable or streaming service login.

Point Spread, Totals, Odds, Trends

Point spread: Iowa State (-1) vs. Texas (-2.5)
Point Total: 57
Money line: Iowa State (-115) vs. Texas (-106)

  • The total has gone under in 13 of ISU’s last 17 road games and the under has his in each of the last five meetings between these teams
  • The Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in its last four against the Cyclones
  • Iowa State is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games overall

Betting splits

Iowa State: (54% of handle, 54% percent of bets)
Texas: (46% of handle, 46% percent of bets)

The Best Bet

The spread here is razor thin. Iowa State has a great rushing attack, but the Longhorns have shown the ability to stop the big run, especially in recent weeks. Thats what will decide this game.

Pick: Texas -2.5

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