This isn’t the Texas team we’ve come accustomed to over the last few years. The record may be the same, but this isn’t a team that’s going to score at-will on its opponent. The ‘Horns have been held under 30 points in two of their last three games, but finding ways to win after falling in consecutive weeks at the start of October. The Longhorns don’t get a ton of explosive plays up and down the field.
The offense is ranked 90th in the nation in terms of chunk plays, only getting them 11% of the time. Those plays may be even harder to come by up against a Cyclones defense that is the 24th best in the nation in limiting a big play. Quarterback Sam Ehlinger has been decent with his arm, throwing for 22 scores and five interceptions, but he’s emerged with his legs this year as well and is the team’s leading rusher with seven rushing touchdowns.
The Iowa State offense has a solid signal-caller of its own in Brock Purdy. While his accolades don’t jump off the page like Ehlinger’s, he’s been solid and a good compliment to Iowa State’s elite running back Breece Hall. Thanks to Hall, ISU is a top-15 team in its ability to stay ahead of the chains on first and second down. It also gets a ton of running plays of 12+ yards. Though Texas is good at stopping those, limiting opponents to big plays on the ground to just 7% of the time.
Game Time/TV Channel/Streaming
You can watch No. 15 Iowa State vs. No. 20 Texas on Friday, November 27th at 12:00 p.m. ET on ABC, or you can stream it via the ESPN app or on ABC livestreaming with a cable or streaming service login.
Point Spread, Totals, Odds, Trends
Point spread: Iowa State (-1) vs. Texas (-2.5)
Point Total: 57
Money line: Iowa State (-115) vs. Texas (-106)
- The total has gone under in 13 of ISU’s last 17 road games and the under has his in each of the last five meetings between these teams
- The Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in its last four against the Cyclones
- Iowa State is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games overall
Iowa State: (54% of handle, 54% percent of bets)
Texas: (46% of handle, 46% percent of bets)
The Best Bet
The spread here is razor thin. Iowa State has a great rushing attack, but the Longhorns have shown the ability to stop the big run, especially in recent weeks. Thats what will decide this game.
Pick: Texas -2.5
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ/MI/PA/WV), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (CO/NH), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA) or Call or Text the TN REDLINE: 800-889-9789. 21+ (18+ NH). NJ/PA/WV/IA/IN/CO/IL/TN/MI only. Eligibility restrictions apply. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for full terms and conditions.