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How public is betting and DFS considerations for #6 Anthony Smith vs. Devin Clark

Anthony Smith vs. Devin Clark meet at light heavyweight during UFC Fight Night on November 28th. We break down how the betting public is picking the fight and the DFS pricing from DraftKings.

Anthony Smith grapples with Aleksandar Rakic of Austria in their light heavyweight fight during the UFC Fight Night event at UFC APEX on August 29, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC

In a lightweight bout for UFC Fight Night, Anthony Smith will battle Devin Clark Saturday live from Las Vegas and available on ESPN+.

The 32-year-old Smith is entering this contest a slight favorite, with a professional fighting record of 33-16. “Lionheart” is ranked sixth in the UFC’s lightweight rankings, but has a two-match losing streak. This summer at UFC Fight Night 175, he lost to Aleksandar Rakic by unanimous decision.

He averages 2.97 strikes per minute with an accuracy of 46 percent. Smith takes a lot of significant strikes inside the octagon, absorbing 4.43 per minute with his defense at 43 percent.

Clark is coming into the UFC APEX with a professional fighting record of 12-4. But unlike his opponent, He is riding a two-match winning streak, and the 32-year-old last fought this summer at UFC 250 defeating Alonzo Menifield by unanimous decision.

Based on what he can do inside the octagon, it does not come as a surprise to see “Brown Bear” Clark having a chance to win. He records 3.40 strikes per minute with an accuracy of 48 percent. The South Dakota native also takes fewer significant strikes at 2.47 and defends against them pretty well at 48 percent. But where he can win this match is on the mat, with 2.76 takedowns per 15 minutes and 36 percent accuracy.

Here are the odds and betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Anthony Smith vs. Devin Clark at UFC Fight Night on November 28th.

Odds and Betting splits

Anthony Smith: -139, (64% of action, 65% of bets)
Devin Clark: +110, (36% of action, 35% of bets)

Winning method splits

DraftKings DFS Values

Anthony Smith: $8,500
Devin Clark: $7,700

Unlike the main event between Blaydes and Lewis, these fighters price ranges aren’t that wide. That being said, which fighter should you look to take in DFS? I would lean towards Clark who is only averaging 54.4 fantasy points per fight, but in his last two bouts he’s scored 77.5 and 73.5 fantasy points. In both matchups “Brown Bear” had a takedown and numerous significant strikes.

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