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How and what to watch for Kentucky vs. No. 6 Florida

Kyle Trask has moved himself into the front runner of the Heisman Trophy race. Can the Gators cover a high spread?

Quarterback Kyle Trask of the Florida Gators plays against the Vanderbilt Commodores at Vanderbilt Stadium on November 21, 2020 in Nashville, Tennessee. Photo by Frederick Breedon/Getty Images

It takes place in the afternoon, but still make sure your kids are not watching this one because it’s going to get messy when the Kentucky Wildcats head on the road to play the Florida Gators on Saturday.

Florida entered the first College Football Playoff rankings at the No. 6 spot and should have a great shot at getting in if it runs through the rest of its season unbeaten with a win over Alabama in the SEC title game. The story for the Gators all year long has been their offense, which is ranked eighth in yards per play led by Heisman front runner Kyle Trask. Coming in at 6-1, all of the Florida wins came by 14 points or more, most recently a 38-17 road win over Vanderbilt.

As for Kentucky, it doesn’t have a whole lot to play for at this point, and we saw just how not motivated it is to compete against the best of college football when it traveled to Tuscaloosa and came home with a 63-3 loss to the Alabama Crimson Tide on Saturday. Kentucky scored 38 on Vanderbilt because, ya know, it’s Vanderbilt, but in three of its last four games, this Kentucky offense score 10 points against Missouri and then three against Kentucky and Alabama.

Kentucky snapped a 31-game losing streak in this series in 2018, but the Gators started a new streak with a 29-21 road win last season.

Game Time/TV Channel/Streaming

You can watch Kentucky vs. No. 6 Florida on Saturday, November 28th at 12:00 p.m. ET on ESPN, or you can stream it via the ESPN app with a cable or streaming service login.

Point Spread, Totals, Odds, Trends

Point spread: Kentucky vs. Florida (-24.5)
Point Total: 61
Money line: Kentucky (+1150) vs. Florida (-3335)

  • Florida is 32-1 straight up in its last 33 games against Kentucky and 9-4 against the spread in its last 13 against the Wildcats.
  • The point total went under in four of Kentucky’s last six games, while Florida overs hit in seven of its last nine.
  • Kentucky unders cashed in 10 of its last 13 road games and in 11 of its last 15 against an SEC opponent.

Betting splits

Kentucky: (16% of handle, 21% percent of bets)
Florida: (84% of handle, 79% percent of bets)

The Best Bet

The clear advantage is Florida’s offense as it’s going to be about impossible for Kentucky to keep up with the Gators on Saturday. Dan Mullen has been a bit unhinged this season, and his team everything in front of it with three blowouts likely coming to close out the regular season. I like Florida to win this game and cover the spread with relative ease because while the Gators cannot brag about their defense, it’s still a lot better than what Kentucky rolls out offensively.

Pick: Gators -24.5

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