It hasn’t been a very successful season for the Vanderbilt Commodores or the Missouri Tigers in 2020, but it’s football and I’ll be watching on Saturday especially with all the games we’ve already missed.
Vanderbilt enters with an 0-7 record but has had a few close calls to do the unthinkable and actually win a game with three one-score losses. The Commodores have a struggling offense and an even worse defense. With that combination, it makes sense they would be going into their final two games on the schedule without a win. Vanderbilt is 103 in yards per play and 122nd in yards per play allowed out of 127 competing FBS teams this season.
While Vanderbilt is the punching bag of the SEC, Missouri is 3-3 overall this season, though it ranks in the bottom half of college football in yards per play offensively and defensively. The latest SP+ rankings has the Tigers slotted as the No. 77 team in college football. It’s tough to judge a head coach in Year 1 during a pandemic, so I’ll wait till next year to make my full way-too-early decision on whether Eliah Drinkwitz was a good hire.
After a three-game losing streak in this series, Vanderbilt won this game 21-14 at home in 2019. And something to root for is Commodores kicker Sarah Fuller, who usually plays goalkeeper for the SEC champion Vanderbilt women’s soccer team. Today she makes history as the first female to dress in an SEC game. If she gets on the field, she’ll be the first woman to play in a Power Five conference football game.
Game Time/TV Channel/Streaming
You can watch Vanderbilt vs. Missouri on Saturday, November 28th at 12:00 p.m. ET on the SEC Network, or you can stream it via the ESPN app with a cable or streaming service login.
Point Spread, Totals, Odds, Trends
Point spread: Vanderbilt vs. Missouri (-14)
Point Total: 51.5
Money line: Vanderbilt (+425) vs. Missouri (-625)
- Vanderbilt is 2-5 straight up against Missouri but covered against the Tigers in four of their last six meetings.
- Vanderbilt lost its last eight games straight up but covered in six of its last nine games.
- Missouri hit the under in 10 of its last 12 games, and Vanderbilt unders cashed in 16 of its last 11 games.
Vanderbilt: (99% of handle, 96% percent of bets)
Missouri: (1% of handle, 4% percent of bets)
The Best Bet
Say what you want about Vanderbilt, but the Commodores are still playing hard despite being winless, so props to Derek Mason for that. If I was in those players’ situation, I’d be the first to admit I’m packing it in. Maybe there’s a reason I never made it as a high-level athlete. Probably many reasons. Vanderbilt lost two one-score games in a row before last week’s loss to Florida in a game the Commodores were either tied or in the lead the majority of the first half. After Missouri failed to blow out a South Carolina after its head coach was fired along with opt outs, I’m taking the Commodores.
Pick: Vanderbilt +14
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