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How and what to watch for SMU vs. East Carolina

East Carolina will play its final game of the 2020 season on Saturday when it matches up with SMU. Where should bettors be going in this one?

Southern Methodist Mustangs cornerback Brandon Crossley runs up field during the first half against the Tulsa Golden Hurricane at H.A Chapman Stadium in Tulsa, Ok. Photo by William Purnell/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

The East Carolina Pirates will close out their 2020 season with a home game with the SMU Mustangs. ECU considered adding another game next weekend but ultimately decided to finish their season on Saturday afternoon.

The Pirates will enter this one with a 2-6 overall record and 2-5 in AAC play, which is tied for eighth place in the 11-team conference. The Pirates snapped a four-game losing streak last weekend when they beat one-win Temple 28-3. East Carolina’s biggest struggles are coming on the defensive side of the ball, which ranks 103rd in opponent yards per play. Rushing defense is the main issue, but the pass defense isn’t all that better.

SMU has a 7-2 overall record including 4-2 in the AAC for third place in the conference behind Cincinnati and Tulsa. Unfortunately for East Carolina, SMU’s high-powered offense is its strength, so the Mustangs should have no issues moving the ball. The Ponies rank 17th in yards per play offensively led by quarterback Shane Buechele, who somehow remains a quarterback in college football after roughly a decade in the sport.

SMU won the last two games of this series including a 59-51 victory in Dallas in 2019.

Game Time/TV Channel/Streaming

You can watch SMU vs. East Carolina on Saturday, November 28th at 12:00 p.m. ET on ESPN+, a subscription service available as an add-on from ESPN.

Point Spread, Totals, Odds, Trends

Point spread: SMU (-12.5) vs. East Carolina
Point Total: 67.5
Money line: SMU (-420) vs. East Carolina (+295)

  • SMU is 4-2 straight up and against the spread in its last six games against East Carolina.
  • The over hit in each of these teams’ last five meetings against each other.
  • East Carolina is 3-12 straight up in its last 15 games but is 8-7 against the spread in that span.

Betting splits

SMU: (97% of handle, 92% percent of bets)
East Carolina: (3% of handle, 8% percent of bets)

The Best Bet

Wow, East Carolina isn’t getting a whole lot of respect from the betting public. Well it’s for good reason because SMU is going to cover this spread with ease. Maybe the Mustangs passing game isn’t as scary as it was before star receiver Reggie Roberson Jr., but SMU is a quality football program and East Carolina isn’t. Generally I like to take the good teams to cover against the bad teams. We’ll see if the bold strategy pays off on Saturday.

Pick: SMU -12.5

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