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How and what to watch for No. 16 Coastal Carolina vs. Texas State

In order to stay undefeated, the No. 16 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers will have to take care of business against the struggling Texas State Bobcats.

Coastal Carolina running back Reese White runs upfield on his way to the end zone for a second quarter touchdown in a college football game between the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers and Georgia State Panthers on October 31, 2020, at Center Parc Credit Union Stadium in Atlanta, GA. Photo by Austin McAfee/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Though the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers haven’t pierced the playoff discussion in the same way that other non-P5 programs have, their march toward an undefeated regular season takes them to San Marcos on Saturday for a matchup with the struggling Texas State Bobcats. The game should provide the latest showcase for Coastal head coach Jamey Chadwell’s innovative, vertically-minded offense.

At a time when many of the top offenses in college football attack by maximizing the number of wideouts on the field, Coastal Carolina has built a downfield passing attack that heavily utilizes its running backs and tight ends. The Chanticleers run those positions on vertical routes down the middle of the field consistently, creating advantageous matchups with linebackers in coverage. As a result, tight end Isaiah Likely ranks second on the team in receiving yards (350) and first in yards per catch (26.9) while running back CJ Marable comes in second in receptions (23) and tied for the lead in receiving touchdowns (six).

That unique approach to the passing game has paid dividends for the entire unit. The Coastal offense enters the week ranked 32nd nationally in overall success rate and 13th in passing success rate. Thanks in large part to those vertical plays to the tight ends and running backs, the Chanticleers’ passing game currently sits at 18th in explosiveness. The play of the offense, along with the program’s spotless record, has Chadwell on numerous head-coaching wish lists heading into the next hiring cycle.

Slowing down Coastal’s aerial attack seems like a Herculean task for Texas State, which has struggled most noticeably on defense. The Bobcats enter the game ranked 109th in the nation in defensive success rate and 111th in success rate against the pass. Even in their victory over the Arkansas State Red Wolves a week ago, they allowed 45 points and needed a 20-point explosion in the fourth quarter to secure the win. Other than for an injury at a major position or a severe Thanksgiving hangover on the part of Coastal Carolina, Texas State doesn’t have a clear path to an upset.

Game Time/TV Channel/Streaming

You can watch No. 16 Coastal Carolina versus Texas State on Saturday, Nov. 28 at 3:00 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

Point Spread, Totals, Odds, Trends

Point spread: Coastal Carolina (-17.5) vs. Texas State
Point Total: 58.5
Money line: Coastal Carolina (-770) vs. Texas State (+510)

  • Coastal Carolina has a 15-7-0 road record against the spread since 2015 (4-0-0 as the road favorite).
  • The Chanticleers also have an over record of 14-7-0 as the road team during the same stretch (2-1-0 as the road favorite).
  • Meanwhile, Texas Tech owns a 14-20-1 record at home against the spread since 2015 (9-13-0 as the home underdog).
  • During the same period, the Bobcats have an over record of 16-18-0 at home (9-13-0 as the home underdog).

Betting splits

Coastal Carolina: (93% of handle, 92% percent of bets)
Texas State: (7% of handle, 8% percent of bets)

The Best Bet

One week after Coastal pulled off an impressive second-half comeback over Appalachian State, it draws a considerably easier opponent. Given the Chanticleers’ strong track record against the spread, they should cover the spread.

Pick: Coastal Carolina -17.5

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