The Gamecocks haven’t won a game in over a month, and relieved head coach Will Muschamp of his duties recently after a disastrous tenure. The biggest reason USC has struggled in 2020 is because of its defense. The unit has given up 48 or more points in three of its last four games and the D ranks near the bottom of the nation in nearly every statistical category. The one thing it does well is stop explosive runs, where it ranks 42nd in the nation. That probably won’t matter much this week, since the Bulldogs don’t get a ton of chunk plays on the ground anyway. UGA ranks 115th in America in runs of 12 or more yards.
Georgia is a much more well-rounded team, but is built on defense. The Bulldogs are one of the best units in the country in terms of limiting big plays, something the Gamecocks don’t get a whole lot of to begin with. While UGA can be pedestrian on offense from time to time, scoring under 30 points per game on average, that’s still more than what USC puts up each week. Dawgs quarterback JT Daniels made his 2020 debut last week and performed very well against a bad Mississippi State defense, throwing for over 400 yards and four touchdowns. Expect more of the same against another defense that can’t stop the pass or the run.
The revenge game factor also can’t be taken lightly. Georgia’s lone loss of the regular season last year was to this South Carolina team. Don’t be shocked if they have a little extra motivation for this one.
Game Time/TV Channel/Streaming
You can watch No. 13 Georgia vs. South Carolina on Saturday, November 28th at 7:30 p.m. ET on the SEC Network, or you can stream it via the ESPN app with a cable or streaming service login.
Point Spread, Totals, Odds, Trends
Point spread: Georgia (-21.5) vs. South Carolina
Point Total: 49.5
Money line: Georgia (-2000) vs. South Carolina (+900)
- The total has gone over in all but one of Georgia’s last five games
- In five of the last seven meetings between these teams the over has hit.
- Both UGA and South Carolina are 1-4 ATS in its last five games
Georgia: (96% of handle, 79% percent of bets)
South Carolina: (4% of handle, 21% percent of bets)
The Best Bet
South Carolina’s defense has been awful this season. Georgia’s offense has been iffy at times, but the change under center provided a massive spark last weekend. I’d expect more of the same. UGA will score a ton and the Gamecocks will score just enough to hit the over
Pick: Over 49.5
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