Welcome back for Week 12 of the 2020 NFL season. Covid-19 has shaken up the schedule and the options available making picks against the spread. I opened with correct calls on the two Thanksgiving games, but Ravens-Steelers got bumped to Sunday and then Tuesday due to the virus. Additionally, the Broncos are playing without any of their rostered quarterbacks eligible due to Covid-19. The line has changed dramatically. I’d take the line either way, so I’ve included both lines.
Last week was another brutal one for me, going 5-9 with my picks and 2-3 with my five best bets of the weekend. It drops me to 71-88-2 on total picks and 27-28 on my best bets. A year ago, I went 131-117-4, finishing with a 52.78 win percentage. That’s barely turning a profit, but for a season’s worth of picks, that’s not too bad. I did not track my best bet percentage over the course of the season, but will make sure to do that this year.
I’m going to pick my five “best bets” each week, similar to what you might use in the DraftKings Pro Football Pick ‘Em National Championship. Lines are moving so some of the lines below will be different from what you see on game day. Look for value where you can!
In the meantime, here are my five picks of choice for this weekend:
Here’s my full list of picks for Week 12.
Texans @ Lions (+3): Texans — WIN
Washington @ Cowboys (-2.5): Washington — WIN
Ravens @ Steelers (-4 (now -9): Steelers
Raiders @ Falcons (+3): Falcons
Cardinals @ Patriots (+2.5): Cardinals
Giants @ Bengals (+6): Giants
Browns @ Jaguars (+6.5): Browns
Panthers @ Vikings (-4): Panthers
Titans @ Colts (-3): Titans
Chargers @ Bills (-5.5): Chargers
Dolphins @ Jets (+7): Dolphins
Saints @ Broncos (+6 (now +14.5): Broncos
49ers @ Rams (-7): 49ers
Chiefs @ Buccaneers (+3.5): Chiefs
Bears @ Packers (-9.5): Bears
Seahawks @ Eagles (+5): Seahawks
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