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How public is betting and DFS considerations for Alexandr Romanov vs. Marcos Rogerio de Lima

Alexandr Romanov vs. Marcos Rogerio de Lima meet on the preliminary card at heavyweight for UFC Vegas 13 on November 7th. We break down how the betting public is picking the fight and the DFS pricing from DraftKings.

By Jovan C. Alford
Alexandr Romanov of Moldova poses on the scale during the UFC weigh-in at UFC APEX on November 06, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC

In the other heavyweight bout on the preliminary card for UFC Vegas 13, Alexandr Romanov will take on Marcos Rogerio de Lima this Saturday live from Las Vegas and available on ESPN+.

Alexandr Romanov and Marcos Rogerio de Lima were supposed to fight each other back in September at UFC on ESPN 9. However, the fight got canceled as Rogerio de Lima tested positive for COVID-19. And so the bout takes place on Saturday from the UFC APEX in Las Vegas.

The 29-year-old Romanov will be fighting in his second-ever UFC. On Sept. 12 at UFC Fight Night 177, he defeated Roque Martinez by submission in Round 2 using an arm-triangle choke. “King Kong” Romanov has a perfect professional record of 12-0, with 11 of those decisions happening in the Eagles Fighting Championship. Out of those 11 decisions, Romanov won five by KO’s.

When it comes to Rogerio de Lima, he is entering the UFC APEX with a professional record of 17-6-1 and 6-4 in the UFC. The 35-year-old Brazilian is a striker as he’s won 12 decisions via KOs. He is averaging 3.78 strikes per 15 minutes with an accuracy of 54 percent.

Here are the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Alexandr Romanov vs. Marcos Rogerio de Lima at UFC Vegas 13 on November 7th.

Odds and Betting splits

Alexandr Romanov: -455, (99% of action, 97% of bets)
Marcos Rogerio de Lima: +330, (1% of action, 3% of bets)

DraftKings DFS Values

Alexandr Romanov: $9,000
Marcos Rogerio de Lima: $7,200

Despite his lack of UFC experience, Romanov enters Saturday’s fight as one of the higher priced in DFS play. In his first UFC match, the 29-year-old scored an impressive 148 fantasy points.

Most of those points came from significant strikes (55), takedowns (20 points), and getting a second-round decision (70 points).

Rogerio de Lima is averaging 66.4 fantasy points per fight over his career. In his last fight, he scored 110 fantasy points, which was excellent value at $8,500. However, in his two fights before that, Rogerio de Lima scored 68 points and 38 points.

Romanov might be worth taking a chance on, especially with Rogerio de Lima’s last two losses coming in the second round.

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