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How the public is betting Week 9 of the NFL season

We break down how the public is wagering on critical games in Week 9.

Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (8) runs the ball against the Pittsburgh Steelers in the second quarter at M&T Bank Stadium. Mitchell Layton-USA TODAY Sports

After an eventual Week 8 that saw a lot of upsets on the field and betting lines, Week 9 of the 2020 NFL season is officially upon us. We already one game into the brand new week as the Green Packers defeated the San Francisco 49ers 34-17 on Thursday night. Heading into the game, the Packers were -7.5 point favorites against an undermanned Niners squad. The Packers cleared the 7.5-point mark, making the oddsmakers look smart.

What about the rest of the Week 9 schedule? We are going to look at the spread, money line, or point total of three games and see if the bettors are on the right track.

Baltimore Ravens (+1) vs. Indianapolis Colts

Even though they are listed as the underdog, this is a conventional pick’em game between the Baltimore Ravens and Indianapolis Colts. The Ravens are receiving 89% of the bets and 93% of the handle.

The Ravens (5-2) are coming into this weekend’s game off of a four-point home loss to the only undefeated team in the NFL, the Pittsburgh Steelers. Baltimore is also sporting an undefeated road record at 3-0.

As for the Colts, they are riding a two-game winning streak, with their latest victory happening last week over the Detroit Lions. Indianapolis got it done on both of the sides of the football, which they will need this week against Baltimore star quarterback Lamar Jackson.

That being said, the public has the pick correct here. It’s hard to see this Ravens’ team losing their second-straight game against a Colts’ team that’s only defeated one team with a winning record. Here’s something else to keep in mind, Baltimore is 12-5-1 against the spread in its last 18 games.

Denver Broncos vs. Atlanta Falcons (O/U 50)

In a game where defense could be non-existent, the Denver Broncos will be traveling across the country to take on the Atlanta Falcons. The O/U is set at 50 points, with 77% of the bets and 61% of the handle taking the over.

This is a tad bit surprising to see because we know the Falcons’ offense can put up points but not so sure about the Broncos’ offense. Denver’s offense has only scored 22 points per game on the road. In their last two road games, they’ve scored 16 and 18 points against the Kansas City Chiefs and New England Patriots.

However, we’ve seen Atlanta’s defense give up a ton of big scoring plays this season. But it is hard to see this Broncos’ offense being able to create or hit on those opportunities. In the Falcons’ last five games, the point total went under four times.

Pittsburgh Steelers (-1000) vs. Dallas Cowboys

If you are looking for an easy moneyline pick for your Sunday parlay, Steelers-Cowboys is the game to go with. Pittsburgh, to no one’s surprise, is the overwhelming favorite across the board. They have 95% of the handle and 96% of the bets. There’s not a chance that the Cowboys pull off the upset as they will be starting their fourth quarterback this season — Garrett Gilbert.

Gilbert will be making his NFL debut on Sunday and was recently signed off of the Cleveland Browns’ practice squad. Also, the Cowboys may be without Ezekiel Elliott, who is questionable with a hamstring injury. Add those two things along with the how good the Steelers are playing, it is an easy selection.

2020 NFL picks, Week 9

Teams Point Spread % Handle % Bets Total Points % Handle % Bets Moneyline % Handle % Bets
Teams Point Spread % Handle % Bets Total Points % Handle % Bets Moneyline % Handle % Bets
BAL Ravens +1 93% 89% Over 48.0 80% 70% +100 92% 80%
IND Colts -1 7% 11% Under 48.0 20% 30% -114 8% 20%
CAR Panthers +10 15% 19% Over 52.5 84% 80% +410 6% 4%
KC Chiefs -10 85% 81% Under 52.5 16% 20% -500 94% 96%
CHI Bears +6.5 42% 51% Over 47.0 56% 50% +235 35% 31%
TEN Titans -6.5 58% 49% Under 47.0 44% 50% -278 65% 69%
DEN Broncos +4 55% 49% Over 50.0 77% 61% +175 61% 47%
ATL Falcons -4 45% 51% Under 50.0 23% 39% -200 39% 53%
DET Lions +5 15% 23% Over 51% 53% +175 34% 33%
MIN Vikings -5 85% 77% Under 49% 47% -200 66% 67%
HOU Texans -6.5 81% 65% Over 50.5 35% 49% -305 84% 85%
JAX Jaguars +6.5 19% 35% Under 50.5 65% 51% +255 16% 15%
NY Giants +2.5 55% 57% Over 43.0 79% 69% +120 66% 65%
WAS Football Team -2.5 45% 43% Under 43.0 21% 31% -136 34% 35%
SEA Seahawks -3 89% 87% Over 55.0 88% 76% -152 87% 80%
BUF Bills +3 11% 13% Under 55.0 12% 24% +133 13% 20%
LV Raiders +1 72% 66% Over 52.5 79% 75% -105 78% 71%
LA Chargers -1 28% 34% Under 52.5 21% 25% -108 22% 29%
MIA Dolphins +4.5 27% 28% Over 49.0 62% 72% +190 24% 24%
ARI Cardinals -4.5 73% 72% Under 49.0 38% 28% -220 76% 76%
PIT Steelers -14.5 90% 87% Over 43.0 85% 82% -1000 95% 96%
DAL Cowboys +14.5 10% 13% Under 43.0 15% 18% +700 5% 4%

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