The 2020-21 NBA season is set to begin this month and that means it’s time to start prepping for fantasy basketball. Some shooting guards are being propped up more than they should be and we’ve identified a few players you should be wary of drafting too early. Let’s take a look at four bust candidates who could fail to meet the expectations set by their ESPN ADP.
Note: Average Draft Position on ESPN can be found via FantasyPros.
Tyler Herro, Miami Heat
ESPN ADP: 67
Herro was amazing in the playoffs last season but is still projected to come off the bench for a Heat team that’s bringing back all its core players. He should definitely take a big leap in his sophomore season but he won’t be in a bubble without outside factors when the season begins. Expecting him to adjust and perform at a high level for an entire year is a big ask.
Bogdan Bogdanovic, Atlanta Hawks
ESPN ADP: 79
Bogdanovic is on a Hawks team that’s loaded with firepower. Four of their five starters can score 20 or more points on any given night, and that makes it hard to predict fantasy value for a lot of their players. The only player who is definitely an elite fantasy prospect at this point is Trae Young. Bogdanovic can definitely put up big numbers at times but he has more competition in Atlanta than he had with the Sacramento Kings.
Josh Richardson, Dallas Mavericks
ESPN ADP: 86
Richardson was brought to Dallas for defense and will take a back seat to Luka Doncic, Kristaps Porzingis, and Tim Hardaway Jr. He’s coming off a down year and is joining one of the more talented offensive teams in the league. He’ll contribute with some spot-op shooting but I don’t anticipate him being asked to do much playmaking.
Anthony Edwards, Minnesota Timberwolves
ESPN ADP: 105
It’s only natural for Edwards to receive a ton of attention. After all, he was the top pick in this year’s draft and is going to a team that missed the playoffs and had one of the worst records in the NBA last season. Minnesota has enough talent to push the rookie to small forward though, and he’ll have to compete with some impressive scorers for touches. Three of Edwards’s teammates — D’Angelo Russell, Karl-Anthony Towns, and Malik Beasley — averaged at least 20 points per game for the Timberwolves last year. Edwards will have to figure things out in the NBA very quickly to perform that well, and I think he’ll take more time to be a consistent shot maker and creator.