Oddsmakers work tirelessly to adjust to where the public is betting their money, and odds will fluctuate throughout the week as we get closer and closer to game time. Whether it’s injuries, coaching decisions or simply a large volume of the handle going on a particular side, line movement is a significant part of the sports betting game. Especially in football with games spread so far apart, there can be big swings in the point spread, creating tremendous value for those who got in early or are waiting to get the best possible number.
I identified some of the biggest line swings throughout the college football week from the moment the opening lines came out to where the spread stands now.
Opening line: Iowa -3
Current line: Wisconsin -2
To be honest, I really don’t get this one. Maybe public money is going on the Badgers just because they have been the stronger program over Iowa in recent years, but I’m pretty surprised at where this line is moving. Wisconsin’s defense is about as good as it gets, but the Badgers failed to score in double digits in its last two games. They’re expected to be without at least its No. 1 wide receiver Danny Davis and potentially the other starter Kendric Pryor, who is also battling an injury. On the other side, Iowa is playing its best right now with five consecutive victories after starting the year 0-2.
Opening line: Colorado -3
Current line: Utah -2
Just like the previous matchup, we’ve got a line move that made the opening favorites the current underdogs. This game was originally scheduled to be played on Friday night, which would typically favor the home team with both teams on the short rest. However, moving the game to Saturday morning likely squashes the advantage the Buffaloes would’ve had, which could be among the reasons for this line move. In addition, Colorado is dealing with some injuries on its offensive line.
Navy Midshipmen vs. Army Black Knights
Opening line: Army -4
Current line: Army -8.5
This is just a case of Army being a much better team than Navy. They both do similar things, but the Black Knights just do it better and we’ve seen that consistently throughout the season starting in Week 1 of the college football season. Anything can happen in a rivalry game like this one, but those who were able to get the Black Knights anywhere below a touchdown favorite should be very happy with how Saturday afternoon will play out.
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