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Why I like the Browns ATS on MNF vs. Ravens

The Browns have a shot at extending their winning streak to five games and could cover the spread as underdogs against the Ravens on Monday.

Baker Mayfield hands off to Nick Chubb of the Cleveland Browns for a 25 yard gain in the third quarter against the Jacksonville Jaguars at TIAA Bank Field on November 29, 2020 in Jacksonville, Florida. Photo by Julio Aguilar/Getty Images

The Cleveland Browns will host the Baltimore Ravens in a Monday Night Football matchup to wrap up Week 14. The game is set to kick off at 8:15 p.m. ET and will be broadcast on ESPN.

Baltimore is favored at -150 on DraftKings Sportsbook despite being the visiting team and ranking third in the AFC North. Cleveland is riding a four-game winning streak and excels and has a good chance to slow down the Ravens’ one-dimensional offense because of its stout run defense. I like the Browns’ odds to cover the spread at FirstEnergy Field against a division rival that’s underperformed all year.

ATS Pick: Browns +3

It’s not surprising that Cleveland is a 3-point underdog in this game. The Browns haven’t won by more than six points in eight Weeks. They topped the Indianapolis Colts by 9 points in Week 5 and have struggled to win a convincing fashion since then. The Browns’ pass defense leaves a lot to be desired Baltimore is unlikely to stretch the field through the air.

The Ravens lead the NFL in rushing yards but are also dead-last in passing yards. Lamar Jackson can be dangerous on the ground when paired with two or three viable backs but Cleveland has a top 10 run defense that held rushing leader Derrick Henry to 60 yards in Week 13. Only seven teams have given up fewer rushing yards than the Browns this season so J.K. Dobbins, Gus Edwards, or Mark Ingram could have to fire on all cylinders to give Jackson enough support to win. Jackson has thrown for under 200 yards in three of his last four games.

Cleveland is only second to Baltimore in rushing yards thanks to Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. If Baker Mayfield continues to show growth as a passer this game will be the Browns’ game to lose. He’s thrown for 592 yards with six touchdowns and no interceptions in his last two games.

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