Missouri enters this game with a 5-4 record and even found itself as part of the College Football Playoff rankings until last week when the Tigers got blown out at home 49-14 against Georgia. Needless to say, Missouri is no longer inside the top 25. The Tigers are about an average college football team according to some of the advanced metrics, but Missouri is better on the defensive side of the ball.
Mississippi State isn’t winning, but the Bulldogs are still putting out solid effort in recent weeks. With just a 2-7 record, Mississippi State has certainly been led by its defense especially early when the offense couldn’t get a whole lot going. Mike Leach teams typically go through growing pains, though his first year is probably going to be looked at as a disappointment.
Game Time/TV Channel/Streaming
You can watch Missouri vs. Mississippi State on Saturday, December 19th at 3:30 p.m. ET on the SEC Network Alternate Channel, or you can stream it via the ESPN app with a cable or streaming service login.
Point Spread, Totals, Odds, Trends
Point spread: Missouri -1 vs. Mississippi State
Point Total: 50.5
Money line: Missouri -127, Mississippi State +105
- Missouri is 5-11 against the spread in its last 16 games, while Mississippi State is 2-6 against the number in its last eight.
- The total went under in 15 of Missouri’s last 20 games and in seven of Mississippi State’s last eight.
- Missouri is 5-2 straight up in its last seven games, while Mississippi State is 1-7 straight up in its last eight.
Missouri: (44% of handle, 83% percent of bets)
Mississippi State: (56% of handle, 17% percent of bets)
The Best Bet
Where does the motivation factor lie here in the last weekend of the regular season? I’m not sure there is one, as we still don’t really know what the bowl season will look like as far as which will receive invites, but Missouri will likely play a postseason matchup. Mizzou has a much better winning culture inside of its locker room right now, so let’s take the Tigers to win by a field goal or more to close out the regular season.
Pick: Missouri -1
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ/MI/PA/WV), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (CO/NH), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA) or Call or Text the TN REDLINE: 800-889-9789. 21+ (18+ NH). NJ/PA/WV/IA/IN/CO/IL/TN/MI only. Eligibility restrictions apply. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for full terms and conditions.