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How public is betting and DFS considerations for Stephen Thompson vs. Geoff Neal

Stephen Thompson vs. Geoff Neal meet in the main event at welterweight during UFC Fight Night on December 19th. We break down how the betting public is picking the fight and the DFS pricing from DraftKings.

Stephen Thompson of the United States fights against Vicente Luque of the United States in in the Welterweight bout during UFC 244 at Madison Square Garden on November 02, 2019 in New York City. Photo by Steven Ryan/Getty Images

In the main event bout at welterweight for UFC Fight Night 183, Stephen Thompson will take on Geoff Neal Saturday live from Las Vegas and available on ESPN+.

The 37-year-old Thompson enters the octagon as the slight favorite, despite this being his first fight in 2020. “Wonderboy” Thompson has a professional fighting record of 15-4-1, with his last fight taking place a little over a year ago. In November 2019 at UFC 244, Thompson defeated Vincente Luque by unanimous decision.

Thompson will try to win on Saturday using his striking abilities. He averages 3.93 strikes per minute, with 44 percent accuracy. Furthermore, the veteran fighter only absorbs 2.73 strikes per minute, while he defends against them at 59 percent.

As for Dos Anjos, he walks into the UFC APEX with a professional fighting record of 13-2. The Texas native last fought one year ago at UFC 245, where he defeated Mike Perry in Round 1 by TKO.

Just like his opponent, this is “Handz of Steel” Neal first UFC bout in 2020. The 30-year-old mixed martial artist will lean on striking and hope to get a KO/TKO decision.

He has eight KO/TKO wins on his fighting resume, along with a seven-match winning streak. Neal lands 6.07 strikes per minute, with an accuracy of 49 percent. He also absorbs more strikes than Thompson at 3.57 per minute, but defends them better at 65 percent.

Here are the odds and betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Stephen Thompson vs. Geoff Neal at UFC Fight Night on December 19th.

Odds and Betting splits

Stephen Thompson: -121 (44% of action, 44% of bets)
Geoff Neal: +100 (46% of action, 56% of bets)

DraftKings DFS Values

Geoff Neal: $8,400
Stephen Thompson: $7,800

For the final UFC event of 2020, we get a matchup between two skilled strikers, who have almost an equal chance to win. In regards to MMADFS, Thompson is averaging 75.5 fantasy points per fight, which includes him scoring 109 fantasy points in his last fight in 2019.

Meanwhile, Neal is averaging an impressive 103.2 fantasy points per fight. Unlike Thompson, he’s scored 107.5 and 106.5 fantasy points in his last two fights both at a $9000 and $9100 salary. In both fights, he got early KO/TKO decisions, mixed in with some significant strikes. Neal is the better option.

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