In the last game of the Week 12 on a Wednesday afternoon, the undermanned Baltimore Ravens will be taking on the Pittsburgh Steelers at Heinz Field in a pivotal division battle for both teams. The Ravens are coming into this game on the outside looking in at the AFC playoff picture and are without starting star quarterback Lamar Jackson. Jackson tested positive for COVID-19 last week, along with multiple Ravens players, including running backs Mark Ingram II and rookie J.K. Dobbins.
As for the Steelers, they are trying to keep their undefeated season and inch one win closer to the 1972 Miami Dolphins. They are also looking to sweep the Ravens this season and keep their stranglehold on the AFC North.
With all that being said, where are the bettors placing their money as we get closer to game time? Let’s check it out below! All the odds and info were provided by DraftKings Sportsbook.
With the Ravens missing key players on offense and starting backup quarterback Robert Griffin III, Pittsburgh is favored by an overwhelming 10.5 points heading into this AFC North matchup. The public is also backing the Steelers as they are receiving 71% of the bets and 83% of the handle.
Is the public right? Yes they are, without question. It is tough to see how this Ravens’ offense will function without Jackson under center against a sounded Steelers’ defense. Granted, Griffin III is not a slouch by any means and he still has Gus Edwards in the backfield, along with tight end Mark Edwards and wide receiver Marquise Brown at his disposal. However, without an effective running game, which helped them keep it close in their meeting. I see the Steelers being able to cover this spread with relative ease.
The point total for this Wednesday afternoon contest is set at 42.5. As of now, 79% of the bets are siding with the over, along with 65% of the handle.
Is the public right? This season, the Steelers’ offense is averaging a league’s best 29.8 per game and has a phenomenal red zone scoring percentage of 69.4. However, the Ravens’ defense is one of the best in points allowed, giving up only 19.5 a game.
When you combine those stats, plus the Ravens’ running game not having their key components, it tells me that this will be a low-scoring game unlike the first matchup with a few big plays mixed in from the Steelers’ offense.
The Steelers have moneyline odds of -500, with the Ravens’ odds coming in at +400. Of the moneyline bets placed for this game, Pittsburgh is seeing 82% of the bets and 86% of the handle.
Is the public right? The Steelers have been the best football team in the NFL this season, despite their moments of when they play down to their competition. They should be able to win today against a undermanned Baltimore team, who will not lay down to their division rivals. That being said, anytime rivals play each other, records go out the window and anything can happen. But I can’t see the Ravens pulling the upset, unless they get some takeaways.
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