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Why I like the Bills ATS on MNF vs. Patriots

The Bills are on a roll and should cover the spread on the road against the Patriots in Week 16.

Josh Allen of the Buffalo Bills waits for the snap against the New England Patriots at Bills Stadium on November 1, 2020 in Orchard Park, New York. Photo by Timothy T Ludwig/Getty Images

The New England Patriots will host the Buffalo Bills at Gillette Stadium in a Monday Night Football matchup to wrap up week 16. Buffalo has a hold on the AFC East and will look to stay ahead of the Miami Dolphins with a win. Kick-off is set for 7:15 p.m. ET and the game will be broadcast on ESPN.

Buffalo is riding a four-game winning streak that would’ve been eight games had DeAndre Hopkins not taken them down with a spectacular Hail Mary touchdown catch earlier in the season. The division leaders are favored at -305 on DraftKings Sportsbook and have a good chance to cover the spread against a New England side that’s dropped two straight.

ATS Pick: Bills

The Bills are 7-point favorites on DraftKings Sportsbook and have won by 10 points or more in four straight games. Buffalo has been able to dominate without John Brown, but the wideout is nearing a return from the IR and could improve an already impressive passing attack. The Patriots have actually been one of the better teams in the NFL against the pass and limited Allen to just 154 passing yards earlier this year but Allen has thrown for more than 350 yards against two solid secondaries over the last three weeks. New England’s offense has been ravaged by injuries and Damie Harris’s availability will drastically affect the Patriots’ ability to move the ball. I’m not confident that the visitors have enough firepower to keep up with Buffalo after being held to 12 points or less in two straight games.

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