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Quarterbacks with the easiest, most difficult strength of schedule for fantasy football playoffs

What QBs have the best and worst schedules for the 2020 fantasy playoffs? We give you some players to deal for in fantasy football.

Quarterback Ryan Tannehill #17 of the Tennessee Titans throws a second half pass against the Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium on November 22, 2020 in Baltimore, Maryland. Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images

Hello fantasy footballers! Today we will look at quarterback strength of schedule for the fantasy playoffs. Hopefully these numbers will help us make some trades or pickups that might help us navigate our playoffs.

For this endeavor, we’ll look at Weeks 14, 15, 16. Those are the most prominent weeks for most leagues, but your mileage may vary. We’ll be using Football Outsider’s defensive DVOA and Adjusted Fantasy Points allowed by position to gauge which quarterbacks should have the easiest and toughest matchups in your quest for a championship.

Below we have a chart with matchups for Week 14-16 based on fantasy points allowed per game to quarterbacks on the left and pass defense DVOA from Football Outsiders on the right. Both stats have merit in evaluating matchups, but I will highlight a few where the two stats mesh and meet the eye test.

Easy QB playoff schedules

Jared Goff, Rams

Playoff schedule: NE, NYJ, @SEA

Goff has been inconsistent this season, which you can really see in his last two games. Against Tampa Bay in Week 11, he threw for 376 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions, on his way to 23 fantasy points. Then the following week he threw for 198 yards, no touchdowns and two interceptions against the 49ers for an awful 3 fantasy points. That isn’t what we’re looking for in the fantasy playoffs, but we can’t deny his schedule looks ripe for the picking.

Goff’s biggest trouble comes with pressure and both the Patriots and Jets, who he’ll face at home, are bottom eight in adjusted sack rate with just over a sack per game. If Goff can stay clean, his fantasy upside always gets a big boost and he should get that for the playoffs.

Lamar Jackson, Ravens

Playoff schedule: @CLE, JAX, NYG

In comparison to last season, Jackson has been downright forgettable, but compared to mere mortals, he’s still a Top 10 fantasy quarterback. And with the Browns, Jaguars and Giants on the fantasy playoff docket, he could be a solid starter once again. He’s still averaging 57.5 yards rushing, but has only three rushing touchdowns. Touchdowns are hard to predict, but he is still running the ball and that means they will come.

Ryan Tannehill, Titans

Playoff schedule: @JAX, DET, @GB

We have some discrepancy between the fantasy points allowed and DVOA, but there is no doubt that these are good matchups for the Titans offense as a whole, which should help Tannehill have top efficiency numbers. That might not mean 300 yards and three touchdowns each game, but his floor should be solid. Derrick Henry should go off in these matchups, which is good for Tannehill, as his numbers in games where Henry tops 125 rushing yards are significantly better than when he doesn’t.

Tough QB playoff schedules

Kirk Cousins, Vikings

Playoff schedule: @TB, CHI, @NO

Cousins could be coming into the fantasy playoffs on a hot streak, as he has 11 touchdowns to one interception over his last four games and will face the Jaguars in Week 13. But then things get tougher with two road games at Tampa Bay and New Orleans and a home game against the Bears. Cousins is good in the right matchups, but he is very matchup dependent. I’d rather not need him in the playoffs this season.

Cam Newton, Patriots

Playoff schedule: @LAR, @MIA, BUF

Newton has been bad this season, but when he can find the end zone on the ground, much of the bad goes away fantasy-wise. But, when you add in his bad play with a tough schedule, I am all out.

Derek Carr, Raiders

Playoff schedule: IND, LAC, MIA

Carr does get the elusive three straight home games in the fantasy playoffs, but that’s where the positives end. He’s shown he can play well in tough situations this season, but then will have games like last week’s meltdown in Atlanta. He has played his best at home, putting up good games on the Saints, Bills, Buccaneers and Chiefs, so it’s not out of the realm that he could do the same with these tougher matchups, but I’d rather not test the theory.

QB SOS

TEAM 14 15 16 AdjFPA (avg) TEAM 14 15 16 DVOA (avg)
TEAM 14 15 16 AdjFPA (avg) TEAM 14 15 16 DVOA (avg)
SF 19 29 22 23.3 LAR 31 32 27 30.0
LAR 15 21 31 22.3 BAL 15 30 29 24.7
BAL 20 28 17 21.7 TEN 30 23 19 24.0
DAL 30 11 24 21.7 CLE 9 29 32 23.3
CHI 25 8 28 20.3 GB 23 21 25 23.0
NYG 22 20 18 20.0 CHI 24 12 30 22.0
PHI 9 22 29 20.0 ARI 29 20 17 22.0
LAC 32 12 16 20.0 WSH 17 27 21 21.7
PIT 23 30 3 18.7 DAL 28 17 20 21.7
CLE 18 17 21 18.7 TB 12 26 23 20.3
CIN 29 1 25 18.3 MIA 10 31 18 19.7
NYJ 31 2 20 17.7 LAC 26 18 8 17.3
TB 8 32 13 17.7 DEN 21 14 16 17.0
DEN 4 23 26 17.7 NYJ 27 7 15 16.3
ARI 17 24 11 17.3 PIT 14 28 6 16.0
JAX 27 18 5 16.7 CIN 22 1 24 15.7
ATL 26 10 14 16.7 DET 19 25 2 15.3
TEN 28 13 7 16.0 SEA 32 4 7 14.3
KC 6 9 32 15.7 IND 18 24 1 14.3
WSH 11 31 4 15.3 KC 11 5 26 14.0
NO 24 14 8 15.3 NO 20 10 12 14.0
DET 7 27 10 14.7 PHI 5 13 22 13.3
GB 13 4 27 14.7 BUF 1 8 31 13.3
SEA 21 19 2 14.0 SF 4 22 13 13.0
CAR 16 7 19 14.0 NYG 13 15 9 12.3
MIA 14 15 12 13.7 JAX 25 9 3 12.3
HOU 5 3 30 12.7 HOU 3 6 28 12.3
IND 12 25 1 12.7 LV 6 16 11 11.0
LV 3 26 6 11.7 NE 7 11 14 10.7
BUF 1 16 15 10.7 CAR 8 19 4 10.3
NE 2 6 23 10.3 ATL 16 2 10 9.3
MIN 10 5 9 8.0 MIN 2 3 5 3.3