clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Public betting splits and line movement for the Liberty Bowl: West Virginia vs. Army

We break down the public betting splits and how the lines have moved for West Virginia and Army in the Liberty Bowl.

Kwabena Bonsu #97 of the Army Black Knights during the fourth quarter of a game against the Air Force Falcons at Michie Stadium on December 19, 2020 in West Point, New York. Photo by Dustin Satloff/Getty Images

After initially not being invited to play in a bowl game despite having nine wins, the Army Black Knights will take on the West Virginia Mountaineers in the Liberty Bowl at 4:00 p.m. ET.

The Black Knights (9-2) won three-straight games to end the season, including their most recent victory over rival Air Force. Army leans on the triple option, which can give various teams issues who have not seen or played against it. The Black Knights average 281.3 rushing yards per game, good for fourth in the NCAA.

As for the Mountaineers (5-4), they are coming into this bowl game off of a horrendous 42-6 loss against the Iowa State Cyclones. In their last five games, West Virginia has a record of 2-3. The Mountaineers have a potent offense, averaging 422.7 yards and 277.2 passing yards per game.

So where are sports bettors going as we get closer to game time? Let’s take a look. All odds and info were provided by DraftKings Sportsbook.

Point Spread

The Mountaineers are favored by 6.5 points heading into New Year’s Eve. West Virginia is also receiving 55% of the bets and 58% of the handle.

Is the public right?

In this case, the public could be on the wrong end of the spread. The Mountaineers have only played three games in the last two months, while Army has played more over that same span of time. Also the Black Knights can run the football, which means they can control the time of possession battle. In West Virginia’s last game against Iowa State, they allowed the Cyclones to put up 236 rushing yards and three touchdowns.

Over/Under

The point total for this matchup is set at 41. As of now, 51% of the bets and 64% of the handle are siding with the under.

Is the public right?

I’m going to say no here because 41 points just seems too low for two teams that have different philosophies. Granted, it makes sense why the public is taking the under because the Army isn’t a team that scores or gives up a lot of points. But we’ve seen West Virginia have their moments where they can score.

Moneyline

The Mountaineers have moneyline odds of -275, with the Black Knights’ odds coming in at +215. Of the moneyline bets placed for this game, West Virginia is seeing 65% of the bets and 46% of the handle.

Is the public right?

Yes, the public is right, when it comes to the moneyline. Despite not playing much in the last couple months because of COVID-19, the Mountaineers have better playmakers on offense and defense. It won’t be a blowout, and should come down to the final quarter.

Liberty Bowl: West Virginia vs. Army

The late change in opponent to the triple option, as well as COVID-19 issues in Knoxville, likely make this a tough one to diagnose. If Army drives the field early, it could be a long day in Memphis for the Vols.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ/MI/PA/WV), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (CO/NH), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA) or Call or Text the TN REDLINE: 800-889-9789. 21+ (18+ NH). NJ/PA/WV/IA/IN/CO/IL/TN/MI only. Eligibility restrictions apply. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for full terms and conditions.