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How and what to watch for Troy vs. South Alabama

The Jaguars will try to hand the Trojans another loss this weekend in a Sun Belt conference matchup.

Troy Trojans offensive lineman Derrick Graham and Troy Trojans offensive lineman Jake Andrews during the game between the Troy Trojans and the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders on November 21, 2020 at Veterans Memorial Stadium in Troy, Alabama. Photo by Michael Wade/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

The Troy Trojans will be looking to snap their three-game losing streak when they take on the South Alabama Jaguars Saturday at 2:00 p.m. ET in Mobile, AL.

The Trojans (4-5) got trounced by Appalachian State last week 47-10. It was the third consecutive week where Troy failed to score at least 20 points. Troy’s defense had no answers for App St. quarterback Zac Thomas as he completed 22-of-29 passes for 279 yards, four touchdowns and zero interceptions. They also couldn’t stop the Mountaineers’ ground game, which saw running back Camerun Peoples rush for 95 yards on 10 carries and a score.

Offensively, Troy was stagnant as quarterback Gunnar Watson completed 13-of-20 passes for 125 yards, a touchdown, and an interception. Watson’s lone touchdown pass went to wide receiver Kaylon Geiger, which were a part of his three receptions for 41 yards.

The Jaguars (4-6) defeated Arkansas State 38-31 last week, behind an impressive performance from wide receiver Jalen Tolbert. The 6-foot-3 wideout produced a game-high 10 receptions for 252 yards and three touchdowns. He outperformed Red Wolves wide receiver Johnathan Adams Jr., who had nine receptions for 138 yards and two touchdowns.

South Alabama will try to put up points through the air against a Trojans defense that is allowing 233.7 yards and an impressive 10.5 yards per completion to opponents this season.

Game Time/TV Channel/Streaming

You can watch Troy vs. South Alabama on Saturday, December 5th at 2:00 p.m. ET on ESPN3, or you can stream it via the ESPN app with a cable or streaming service login.

Point Spread, Totals, Odds, Trends

Point spread: Troy (-5) vs. South Alabama
Point Total: 54.5
Money line: Troy (-190) vs. South Alabama (+155)

  • This season, the Trojans have a record of 1-5 against the spread in its last six games.
  • Dating back to last season, the point total went under in eight of Troy’s last 11 games.
  • This season, the Jaguars have not been a great ML pick with a record of 1-4 in its last five games.
  • The point total went under in six of South Alabama’s last seven games.

Betting splits

Troy: (88% of handle, 77% percent of bets)
South Alabama: (12% of handle, 23% percent of bets)

The Best Bet

Based on the trends and how each teams performs at home and away, the best bet would be to take the under. It’s hard to trust Troy ATS this season, who lost last week to App St, while the Jaguars barely escaped against Arkansas State.

Pick: Under 54.5

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