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How and what to watch for No. 12 Indiana vs. No. 16 Wisconsin

Without star quarterback Michael Penix Jr., the No. 12 Indiana Hoosiers will need a stellar showing from their defense to upset the No. 16 Wisconsin Badgers.

Head Coach Tom Allen of the Indiana Hoosiers watches his team play against the Ohio State Buckeyes at Ohio Stadium on November 21, 2020 in Columbus, Ohio. Photo by Jamie Sabau/Getty Images

In the strangest season of college football anyone can remember, the Indiana Hoosers somehow managed to peak and give Ohio State its only legitimate challenge so far. While the Hoosiers fell short of the upset, they put the country on notice that this wasn’t the usual pushover from Bloomington.

Unfortunately for Indiana, the good vibes didn’t last long. Star quarterback Michael Penix Jr. suffered a torn ACL last week, forcing Jack Tuttle into the lineup and removing the most dangerous threat at the Hoosiers’ disposal. While Tuttle played admirably in Penix’s absence last week, the drop-off remains significant.

Meanwhile, the Wisconsin Badgers have barely played over the past month due to game cancellations and a COVID-19 outbreak within the program. Furthermore, the last time the Badgers saw the field — two weeks ago at Northwestern — they looked like a group of kids who had never seen a football before.

How well Wisconsin rebounds from the Northwestern loss will depend greatly on whether Graham Mertz can play closer to the signal-caller that destroyed Illinois in the season opener and less like the more-pedestrian quarterback that showed up two weeks ago.

Game Time/TV Channel/Streaming

You can watch Indiana versus Wisconsin on Saturday, Dec. 5 at 3:30 p.m. ET on ABC, or you can stream it via this link with a cable or streaming service login.

Point Spread, Totals, Odds, Trends

Point spread: Indiana vs. Wisconsin (-13)
Point Total: 44.5
Money line: Indiana (+380) vs. Wisconsin (-530)

  • Since 2015, Indiana owns a 15-14-0 road record against the spread (8-6-0 as the road underdog).
  • Also during that stretch, the Hoosiers have an over record of 16-12-1 on the road (7-7-0 as the road underdog).
  • Meanwhile, Wisconsin has a 16-18-0 home record against the spread since 2015 (15-18-0 as the home favorite).
  • Also during that time, the Badgers own an over record of 18-17-0 at home (17-17-0 as the home favorite).

The Best Bet

The loss of Penix irreparably changes the outlook for Indiana. However, the Hoosiers’ defense still has the ability to derail opposing offenses, and Wisconsin has already shown that it doesn’t always have its act together.

Pick: Indiana +13

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