Over the last month, BC has only lost to the No. 1 and No. 2 teams in the nation. Meanwhile UVA hasn’t lost since before Halloween, and even knocked off a top-15 team in the process.
Boston College’s wins have been much closer than the Cavs. UVA is pretty bad at stopping big passing plays, but they’re actually pretty good at stopping the run and pounding the rock on the ground. The ground game will be huge for Virginia in this one, as they rank 47th in rushing efficiency while the Eagles are ranked 108th in rushing success allowed. BC is even lower ranked in explosive passing plays allowed, but that shouldn’t factor in against a Cavalier unit that’s passing for just 256 yards per game.
Boston College’s offense is exceptionally average. No facet of the team is particularly amazing, but there’s also not an overly weak link on O either. They average 27 points per game, which they should hit against UVA who gives up 29 points per game. Still, they’re not going to be able to blow the ‘Hoos out and will probably struggle mightily on defense.
Game Time/TV Channel/Streaming
You can watch Boston College vs. Virginia on Saturday, December 5th at 3:30 p.m. ET on several regional sports networks partnered with the ACC, including NESN in New England.
Point Spread, Totals, Odds, Trends
Point spread: Boston College vs. Virginia (-4)
Point Total: 55
Money line: Boston College (+140) vs. Virginia (-175)
- BC games tend to have big numbers on the scoreboard, the total has hit the over in all but one of their last five games
- The Eagles are also doing well against the spread recently, going 12-5 ATS against ACC opponents.
- The ‘Hoos are a safe bet against the spread as well recently, going 4-1 ATS in their last five
- This season, the over has hit for UVA on six of their eight total games
Boston College: (90% of handle, 91% percent of bets)
Virginia: (10% of handle, 9% percent of bets)
The Best Bet
Boston College’s defense is going to struggle against the UVA run game. The Eagles are going to get their points though, because Virginia isn’t going to turn into some crazy stout unit overnight. Both teams will surpass their season-average of points per game
Pick: Over 55
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