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How public is betting and DFS considerations for Roman Dolidze vs. John Allan

Roman Dolidze vs. John Allan meet at light heavyweight during UFC Fight Night on December 5th. We break down how the betting public is picking the fight and the DFS pricing from DraftKings.

Roman Dolidze of Georgia poses for a portrait after his victory during the UFC Fight Night event inside Flash Forum on UFC Fight Island on July 19, 2020 in Yas Island, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. Photo by Mike Roach/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

In a light heavyweight bout for UFC Fight Night, Roman Dolidze will take on John Allan Saturday live from Las Vegas and available on ESPN+.

The 32-year-old Dolidze enters this contest as the overwhelming favorite, despite this being his second-ever UFC fight. He has a professional fighting record of 7-0 and made his debut at UFC Fight Night 172 earlier this year. Dolidze defeated Khadis Ibragimov by Round 1 TKO.

Based off his one UFC fight, Dolidze will look to win this match using his striking ability. He averages 4.47 strikes per minute, with 48 percent accuracy. But Dolidze absorbs fewer significant strikes at 0.94 per minute, with his defense at 53 percent.

As for Allan, he walks into the UFC APEX as the long shot underdog this weekend. The 27-year-old from Brazil has a professional fighting record of 13-5 (1 NC). At his UFC debut in July, “The Hunter” Allan received a no-contest against Mike Rodriguez.

Unlike his opponent, Allan can mix it inside the octagon, using both striking and grappling. He lands 3.59 significant strikes per minute, with an accuracy of 48 percent. However, Allan also absorbs a lot of strikes at 4.39 per minute, while his defense stands at 51 percent. In regards to grappling, the mixed martial artist has a 2.54 submission average per 15 minutes, with 66 percent accuracy. Allan also possesses a submission average of 1.9 and takedown defense at 57 percent.

Here are the odds and betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Roman Dolidze vs. John Allan at UFC Fight Night on December 5th.

Odds and Betting splits

Roman Dolidze: -200 (87% of action, 89% of bets)
John Allan: +160, (13% of action, 11% of bets)

Winning method splits

DraftKings DFS Values

Roman Dolidze: $8,700
John Allan: $7,500

Even though this light heavyweight battle is in favor of Dolidze, Allan might be the better play in MMA DFS this week. With only a $7,500 value, he can provide you with terrific value due to his striking and grappling skills. In his debut, Allan scored 86.5 fantasy points, as he landed 55 significant strikes, four takedowns, and got three advances. Unlike his opponent, Allan can fill up the stat sheet, which is what you want in a fight between two fighters in only their second UFC fights.

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