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Best lineup strategy for Bills vs. 49ers MNF Showdown

We breakdown the top value plays in Monday night’s Week 13 matchup between the Bills and 49ers.

Buffalo Bills wide receiver Gabriel Davis (13) runs with the ball after a catch as Seattle Seahawks free safety Quandre Diggs (right) defends during the second quarter at Bills Stadium. Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports

In the second of two Monday night football games in Week 13, we have the Buffalo Bills travel back out west to the play the surging San Francisco 49ers in Glendale, AZ. Unlike last week’s MNF game between the Seattle Seahawks and Philadelphia Eagles, there are a ton of great plays for NFL DFS on both teams.

As we know a lot of DFS players will be spending their cap space either on Bills quarterback Josh Allen, wide receiver Stefon Diggs, or 49ers running back Raheem Mostert. However, there are fantastic value plays outside of those players who can make the difference in your lineup.

Therefore, who are some value flex plays on both teams that could help you win the MNF DraftKings Showdown? Let’s discuss some options below.

Gabriel Davis, WR, Bills, $5,800

With Diggs likely to command a lot of attention on the perimeter, it could open up things in the passing game for Cole Beasley and rookie wideout Gabriel Davis. For second-straight week, Davis should an increased number of snaps with veteran wide receiver John Brown on injured reserve.

Last week, Davis had his second-best fantasy football performance against the Los Angeles Chargers at a $2200 value. The rookie out of UCF recorded three receptions (four targets) for 79 yards, a touchdown, along with 16.9 fantasy points. On Monday night, he’ll be trying to build off of that performance against a Niners’ defense, which is ranked 12th against wide receivers (OPRK). They are also giving up 34.8 DraftKings points per game and 12 touchdowns to opposing wide outs.

Devin Singletary, RB, Bills, $6,200

Unlike the Bills’ wide receiver group, it is tough to figure out who is the team’s top running back on a weekly basis. One week it could be second-year running back Devin Singletary, who provides pass-catching ability. Or it could end up being rookie Zack Moss, who’s been good inside the red zone.

But for NFL DFS purposes, we are going to go with Singletary, who is cheaper than Moss at $6600. Last week against Los Angeles, the former FAU Owl recorded his second game this season with 100 yards of total offense. Singletary had 82 rushing yards on 11 carries and three catches for 20 receiving yards, equaling out to 12.2 points.

With attention being on Diggs and Allen in the running game, Singletary will need to keep those chains moving when given the opportunity. This season, the Niners’ defense is only allowing six rushing touchdowns, three receiving touchdowns, and 20.7 DraftKings points per game to opposing running backs.

Jeff Wilson Jr., 49ers, $1,800

This selection is truly a boom or bust flex value play in DFS, as we know the San Francisco 49ers get multiple running backs involved within the offense. Last, we saw Jeff Wilson Jr. make his return off of injured reserve, finishing second behind Raheem Mostert in carries.

Wilson had 12 carries for 40 yards, equaling out to a pedestrian 3.0 fantasy points against the Rams. This week, he’s going against a Bills’ defense that isn’t stout against the run, allowing 129.6 yards per game. Buffalo also ranks 24th versus running backs (OPRK), which means he along with Mostert could make some gains on the ground. But we do not know who will be the second behind Mostert as Tevin Coleman could see an increase in snaps on Monday night.

Brandon Aiyuk, 49ers, $7,000

The Niners are getting back rookie wideout Brandon Aiyuk for Monday night’s game versus the Bills. Aiyuk missed last week’s game because of COVID-19, but he’s reportedly feeling fresh. The last time we saw the first round pick on the field, Aiyuk had 19.7 fantasy points in Week 10 against the New Orleans Saints.

In that particular matchup as the team’s WR1, he had seven receptions (14 targets) for 75 yards and a touchdown. It was his third-straight game with at least 15 fantasy points in DFS. He’ll be looking to accomplish this feat again versus a Bills’ defense that is ranked 11th against wide receivers (OPRK) and 35.5 DraftKings points per game this season.