The XFL should continue to provide plenty of sleepers as pricing levels out, but we might need to avoid Week 1 breakout players, as their prices got a big bump and we have just the one game to go from. Looking for bounce back plays from players who saw decent usage but not much production is probably a good way to find for sleepers this week.
Jordan Ta’amu, St. Louis BattleHawks ($8,900)
Of the starting quarterbacks we know are healthy and playing, Ta’amu has the best value for his upside this week. His 8.9k price ranks seventh despite a strong showing last week in Dallas. Ta’amu didn’t throw much in that game either, as the score was close throughout and they spent much of their time running the ball. Still, Ta’amu had a healthy 7.7 yards per attempt on a 74.1 percent completion rate. He threw a touchdown and wasn’t intercepted while adding 77 yards on the ground on nine attempts. That rushing production is key and against the Roughnecks, he likely will need to do more to keep pace.
Quinton Flowers, Tampa Bay Vipers ($7,500)
Flower’s value depends on if Aaron Murray can play or not in Week 2. And, even if Murray can’t go, there’s a decent chance Flowers would split some work with Taylor Cornelius. Flowers was listed as a running back last week but DraftKings switched him to quarterback and upped his price big time, which was smart. His ability to run, if given the opportunity for a whole game, would give him good fantasy points even if he didn’t do all that much through the air.
Darius Victor, NY Guardians ($4,100)
Victor led the Guardians in touches and yards at running back, including three receptions. He had one fewer snap than Tim Cook, but seven more touches. His team likely won’t hold a lead throughout the game this week, so I expect even more targets against the Defenders, who gave up eight receptions and 4.9 yards per carry to the Dragons running backs last week.
Lance Dunbar, Dallas Renegades ($4,600)
I don’t want a lot to do with running backs who don’t see targets in this league, especially on DraftKings, so Dunbar is one of my favorite plays this week for his price. He led all running backs in targets and receptions last week with six while also leading the team in carries with five. Dallas is going to throw the ball a ton and Dunbar appears to be the preferred receiving back.
Nick Holley, Houston Renegades ($4,800)
As long as Holley is designated as a running back, he should have value at DraftKings. He plays slot receiver for a pass-happy offense and he caught all four of his targets for 50 yards in Week 1. A similar game at his price in Week 2 is not a bad thing in a league that doesn’t use their running backs that much on the ground.
L’Damian Washington, St. Louis BattleHawks ($4,400)
Washington didn’t do much in Week 1 but he did catch all five of his targets and ran the most routes and played the most snaps on the team. This week he will likely get more opportunities, as Houston’s offense should push St. Louis to pass the ball much more often.
DeAndre Thompkins, DC Defenders ($3,600)
This pick depends on his status this week, as Thompkins missed last week’s game but was able to get a limited practice in on Tuesday. If he is a full-go, it’s hard to pass on a receiver who is listed as a starter in this offense at a bottom of the barrel price.
Jalen Tolliver, Tampa Bay Vipers ($3,900)
Tolliver was just behind Dan Williams in targets as he caught 3-of-7 targets for 47 yards. That’s not a great catch percentage, but he also didn’t drop a pass while Williams dropped two and Reece Horn dropped one. I like his chances if he can continue seeing a big target load.
Flynn Nagel, Dallas Renegades ($5,200)
The LA Wildcats were scorched by P.J. Walker for four touchdowns and this week they should face Landry Jones in the Air Raid offense. I like all the Dallas receivers, but Nagel tied for the lead in targets last week and led the team in receiving yards and was second in routes run to Jeff Badet, who is still quite expensive.
Houston Roughnecks ($3,400) vs. St. Louis BattleHawks
The Roughnecks were a wrecking crew last week, as they allowed the fewest yards per play in the league at 3.9 and had 16 QB hits and five sacks. They get another home game this week against a BattleHawks team that went run heavy in a close game against Dallas. They likely will need to pass more in this game and that’s when Kony Ealy and company can do their most damage.
I am an avid fan and user (my username is cogresha) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.