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Best Bets and odds to win the NCAA Tournament

The field is as wide open as it’s been in years. Let’s take a look at some potential winners and those with plenty of value remaining.

Baylor Bears guard MaCio Teague shoots a free throw in the second half of the game against the Texas Longhorns at Frank C. Erwin Jr. Center.  Scott Wachter-USA TODAY Sports

With a great mix of power conference teams and brand names alongside some mid-major sides that have everything it takes to win, the NCAA Tournament bracket is as wide open as it’s been in years.

The Gonzaga Bulldogs enter as favorites at +800, but is there more value anywhere else on the board? Right now the bettors are all over Kansas who are currently listed as +900, as they’ve taken a whopping 29% of the dollars bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Let’s take a look at the odds and pick some potential winners with the best value to win the 2020 NCAA Tournament.

Gonzaga +800

There’s a reason they’re the chalk: the No. 1 adjusted offense in college basketball, shooting almost 40% as a team from three-point range, and enough team defense (35th adjusted) and rebounding to go with it. And don’t worry about the soft schedule: they racked up plenty of Q1 wins at home, on the road, on neutral floors... basically everywhere but Nassau, Bahamas, where they lost in a tournament final to Michigan. And like the rules with people you’re casually dating, if it didn’t happen in the same country, it didn’t happen.

Only one senior on this team, Killian Tillie, was a part of their 2017 national championship game run, but this team has the pedigree and the talent to get all the way to the top. And with a No. 1 seed almost a given (maybe wait until after the BYU game in Provo Saturday to bet this just to be safe??), they’ll have a very gettable path to the title. Filip Petrusev leads a balanced attack that’s a joy to watch on both sides.

Right now 5% of the wagers at DraftKings Sportsbook are on the ‘Zags to win it all.

Baylor +1100

Don’t look now, but the most athletic team in the tournament is now making threes. And if that happens, they’re basically an unbeatable Death Star of athleticism and length in green and yellow. They don’t even need to make 40%, just in the mid 30’s is fine, as their stifling defense shuts people down inside (3rd in adjusted defense, 6th in eFG defense).

They’re also deep enough where one injury might hurt less than with other teams. Jared Butler, MaCio Teague and friends are a group no one wants to play in March.

A Sleeper

San Diego State +2200

How can a No. 1 seed that hasn’t lost a game yet be considered a sleeper? Because this price feels like a holiday present from your benevolent bookmaker. That’s insane value on a team that is undefeated, and very likely to be a No. 1 seed giving them the easiest possible path to Atlanta and the Final Four. Even if you’re doing some money line hedging down the way, it’s a very big number for a team that has shown they can beat good comp (four Q1 wins, including neutral and on the road). They’re seventh in adjusted offense and defense, and only Kansas is ahead of them when both numbers are combined.

And if you live on the east coast and don’t stay up late, go to work late one day and watch Malachi Flynn. He’s worth it, and he’s capable of getting a team to a national championship. And many bettors agree: 5% of the handle at DraftKings is on the Aztecs to cut down the nets in Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

A Dark Horse

Iowa +6000

Sometimes the team with the best big man can do it alone, and Luka Garza has been that for the Hawkeyes. He’s just about unguardable at times: a 7-footer with a gorgeous three-point stroke and a post game to go with it.

This is setting money on fire unless deadeye shooter C.J. Frederick comes back from a brutal ankle injury by tournament time, but this team plays insanely hard and has enough upperclassmen that can play when it’s crunch time. No one wants to play Iowa. Iowa probably doesn’t want to practice against Iowa. There’s value here, but be prepared to start hedging a bit as it we get from eight to four to two.

Here’s the full list of odds from DraftKings Sportsbook.

2020 NCAA Tournament Champion Odds

Team Odds 3/10 Odds 3/4 Odds 2/19
Team Odds 3/10 Odds 3/4 Odds 2/19
Kansas +600 +600 +900
Gonzaga +800 +800 +800
Dayton +1100 +1000 +1500
Baylor +1150 +1100 +1100
Michigan State +1500 +1500 +2000
San Diego State +1500 +1500 +2200
Maryland +1600 +1600 +1500
Duke +2000 +2000 +1100
Louisville +2000 +2000 +1500
Florida State +1500 +2000 +2000
Kentucky +1500 +2000 +2000
Villanova +1700 +2200 +2200
Creighton +2000 +2500 +6000
Oregon +3000 +3000 +2000
Auburn +3000 +3000 +2800
Penn State +3000 +3000 +3000
Michigan +3000 +3000 +4000
Arizona +4000 +4000 +3000
West Virginia +4000 +4000 +3000
Ohio State +4000 +4000 +4000
Colorado +4000 +4000 +6000
Butler +4000 +4500 +4000
Texas Tech +4500 +4500 +4500
LSU +5000 +5000 +4000
Houston +5000 +5000
Iowa +5000 +5000 +6000
Marquette +5000 +5000 +6000
Illinois +6000 +6000 +4000
BYU +3000 +6000 +8000
Providence +6000 +6000 +12500
Virginia +4000 +6600 +6000
Wichita State +15000 +7000 +6000
Purdue +8000 +8000 +6000
Indiana +8000 +8000 +8000
Saint Mary's +6000 +8000 +8000
Florida +6000 +8000 +8500
Memphis +20000 +10000 +6000
Arkansas +10000 +10000 +10000
Cincinnati +10000 +10000 +10000
Harvard +10000 +10000 +10000
NC State +10000 +10000 +10000
Oklahoma +7000 +10000 +10000
Penn +10000 +10000 +10000
Rhode Island +10000 +10000 +10000
Utah State +3000 +10000 +10000
VCU +20000 +10000 +10000
Wisconsin +5000 +10000 +10000
Xavier +10000 +10000 +10000
Liberty +10000 +10000 +10000
Northern Iowa +10000 +10000 +10000
Texas +10000 +10000 +20000
East Tennessee State +10000 +10000 +20000
UCLA +7000 +10000 +25000
Tennessee +12000 +12000 +8000
Yale +15000 +15000 +12500
Alabama +15000 +15000 +15000
Davidson +15000 +15000 +15000
Minnesota +15000 +15000 +15000
Stanford +10000 +15000 +15000
USC +7000 +15000 +20000
New Mexico State +15000 +15000 +30000
North Carolina +20000 +20000 +8000
Mississippi State +20000 +20000 +10000
Syracuse +20000 +20000 +12500
Georgetown +20000 +20000 +20000
Loyola Chicago +20000 +20000 +20000
Clemson +25000 +25000 +20000
Arizona State +10000 +25000 +25000
Belmont +10000 +25000 +25000
UConn +30000 +30000 +12500
Georgia +30000 +30000 +25000
South Carolina +10000 +30000 +25000
SMU +30000 +30000 +25000
Notre Dame +40000 +40000 +20000
Washington +50000 +50000 +12500
DePaul +50000 +50000 +12500
St. John's +50000 +50000 +15000
Iowa State +50000 +50000 +20000
Missouri +50000 +50000 +20000
Oklahoma State +50000 +50000 +20000
Temple +50000 +50000 +20000
Texas A&M +50000 +50000 +20000
Utah +50000 +50000 +20000
Boise State +50000 +50000 +22500
Boston College +50000 +50000 +25000
Kansas State +50000 +50000 +25000
Miami (FL) +50000 +50000 +25000
New Mexico +50000 +50000 +25000
Ole Miss +50000 +50000 +25000
Oregon State +50000 +50000 +25000
South Florida +50000 +50000 +25000
UNLV +50000 +50000 +25000
Virginia Tech +50000 +50000 +25000
Wake Forest +50000 +50000 +25000
Missouri State +50000 +50000 +30000
Nevada +50000 +50000 +30000
Saint Louis +50000 +50000 +30000
TCU +50000 +50000 +30000
Nebraska +50000 +50000 +50000
Vanderbilt +50000 +50000 +50000
Drake OFF OFF +15000
Pittsburgh OFF OFF +20000

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