The San Francisco 49ers are 1.5-point underdogs against the Kansas City Chiefs in the Super Bowl, with the total sitting up at 54 points. That means we should see a close game with a lot of points, not only giving us an exciting Super Bowl, but a good game for fantasy purposes. Below are some plays and strategies to consider on the DraftKings slate if you’re looking to be a little bit more contrarian.
Raheem Mostert, RB, 49ers ($14,100)
I expect Mostert to be a pretty popular play on this slate given the damage he did last week — 220 yards, four touchdowns, 51.6 DKFP. It’d be ridiculous to expect that again, but the Chiefs do rank just 23rd against RBs this season, and Tevin Coleman is still recovering from a dislocated shoulder. Coleman was removed from the final injury report, but he is not 100 percent. M Mostert your captain over the QBs makes some sense if you think he’ll get the bulk of the work on Sunday. The Chiefs have the four most expensive players on the slate, so I think most eyes will be on them, considered the far superior offensive team.
DeMarcus Robinson, WR, Kansas City Chiefs ($3,900)
There are multiple reasons to consider going way off the radar in tournaments for a showdown slate. For starters, if that player goes off, it gives you a massive boost on the rest of the field. But it also allows you to play the rest of your lineup very safe. Robinson is my example here because I think he offers a lot of upside. The Chiefs WR2 can be anyone in any given game, and I just feel Robinson could wind up making some big plays. He did have a 6-172-2 game for 38.2 DKFP back in Week 2. But the message is more to take your guy here, whether is be Kenrick Bourne ($5,100), Mecole Hardman ($3,300), etc. Once you slot that guy into the captain spot, you can pretty much fill out the rest of your roster with five of the top eight plays on the slate, in terms of salary.
Tevin Coleman, RB, 49ers ($6,400)
As I mentioned, we’re not even positive what Coleman’s role in this game will be, which is exactly why he has to be a tournament consideration. I’ll be honest, one of my favorite bets in this game is Coleman UNDER 9.5 carries. I just don’t see him having much of a role, if any after that ugly shoulder injury. Mostert’s more than capable of carrying the load, and Matt Breida ($3,200) is a capable backup. But what if all of that is wrong? If Coleman’s healthy enough to go, and gets off to a good start, why couldn’t he put up 22-105-2 for 25.5 DKFP like he did just two games ago against Minnesota? He could, and absolutely nobody will roster him on this slate. Just an idea to consider. Mostert could also wind up going down in-game, giving Coleman more value. If we get any kind of word that Coleman will be sufficiently limited, maybe Breida becomes your consideration here.
Kickers & D/STs
In terms of low Showdown ownership, people tend to look away from D/ST and kickers. It’s just more fun to play a cheap WR that could catch a deep touchdown, but it usually doesn’t happen. With the total set at 54 points in this game, we should see some scoring. I don’t need to explain what that means for the kickers. Harrison Butker ($4,200) averaged 10 DKFP this season. The only player cheaper that averaged more was ... 49ers D/ST ($3,600), which averaged 10.3 DKFP. I would lean to the 49ers D/ST as a play in this game, just because of the narrative — nobody will play a defense against Mahomes. You could easily get burned this route, but a pick-six changes everything. Robby Gould ($4,000) and Chiefs D/ST ($3,000) are lesser considerations.
I am an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.