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Considering a best bet for the Texas Rangers 2020 win total

The Rangers are hoping a change of venue and a new look rotation will give them better fortunes in 2020. We’ll take a look at their surprising win total set for the upcoming season.

Texas Rangers center fielder Joey Gallo reacts after striking out in the third inning against the Minnesota Twins at Target Field. David Berding-USA TODAY Sports

The Texas Rangers are hoping for a new vibe in 2020 after making a big trade and moving into a new stadium. After finishing with a record of 78-84, good for third in the American League West, the Rangers seem to be focused on winning in 2020. Let’s take a look if that’s a goal that can be achieved in this upcoming season.

Additions

SP Corey Kluber
SP Kyle Gibson
SP Jordan Lyles
RP Jimmy Herget
RP Nick Goody
C Robinson Chirinos
1B/OF Sam Travis
3B Todd Frazier
OF Adolis Garcia

Subtractions

RP Nate Jones
RP Luis Garcia
RP Jeffrey Springs
3B Matt Duffy
OF Hunter Pence
OF Nomar Mazara

Offseason news

The biggest move came in mid-December, as the Rangers acquired a front line starter in Corey Kluber. He dealt with a couple of injuries last season, suffering a fractured arm on May 1 and then an oblique strain in August. Those injuries held him to just seven starts and 35 2/3 innings. If healthy, the former two-time Cy Young award winner would champion a rotation that now includes Kyle Gibson and Jordan Lyles. Gibson, who signed a three-year deal, projects to be on the back end of the rotation behind Kluber, Mike Minor and Lance Lynn. The Rangers are also taking a chance on Jordan Lyles, who enjoyed a second-half resurgence after being traded from the Pirates to the Brewers. With this rotation set, the Rangers should be much more competitive with their rotation.

The majority of their offseason was spent on the rotation. The Rangers did make some other moves, most notably trading Nomar Mazara for prospect Steele Walker from the White Sox. The move allows Joey Gallo and Willie Calhoun to be locked into their outfield positions while also adding to their deep outfield farm system. The Rangers also added Todd Frazier, who’ll play third base. He’s essentially acting as a stopgap at the position at the age of 33. Nonetheless, he still boasts some good power after hitting 21 home runs while playing half of his games at Citi Field with the Mets. Playing in the much friendlier Texas heat could certainly help his power numbers in a lineup that realistically has a chance at four or five players with 20+ home run potential.

Best bet

I was surprised to see that despite all the additions the Rangers made, their win total is actually LOWER than what they won last season. After posting a 78-84 record in 2019, the are currently set at 76.5 on DraftKings Sportsbook for 2020. I think they’re a better team than that and would be willing to take the over on that total. Concerns can be raised about their bullpen and rightfully so but with the additions in the rotation, I believe it won’t be needed as heavily as it was last season. You are paying some juice on the over, as the -134 line as I write this is tied for the second highest amongst all teams. For reference, the Twins currently sport the highest line at -136 for over 91.5 wins. As it stands, I think you’re getting a fair number to take the over but you’re obviously going to pay up for it. If you’re ok with that, go for it. Otherwise, this could be a total to avoid, as I wouldn’t be comfortable taking the under.

Texas Rangers OVER 76.5 wins.

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