After a late start to the season, Zion Williamson was priced at +2000 to win Rookie of the Year. Since coming back and taking over the league, he’s been priced down to +450 to win the award. Can he keep the momentum going and overtake Ja Morant?
Who will win Rookie of the Year: Ja Morant or Zion Williamson?
As it stands, Morant is the overwhelming favorite to win ROY at -560 odds. He’s certainly more likely to win even though Zion has been absurdly impactful since coming back from knee surgery. In a small sample, he’s averaging 22.1 points and 7.5 rebounds per game in just 27.4 minutes per night. If Williamson hadn’t missed any games, he would likely be a slam dunk to win this award. Instead, voters are likely going to lean towards Morant since he’s currently played in 48 games compared to just 10 for Zion.
The issue with betting Morant is that there isn’t much value at his current odds. This is why I prefer betting on Zion for his +450 price. Even though the value has dried up a bit since coming back, there’s still an outside shot for Williamson to win. For it to happen, the New Orleans Pelicans will likely have to make the playoffs over the Memphis Grizzlies. As it stands, Memphis is up 5.5 games in the standings. One benefit for the Pelicans is that their remaining opponents have a 44.9 win percentage, the easiest remaining schedule in the league. As for the Grizzlies, their remaining opponents have a 55.4% win percentage, the hardest remaining schedule in the league. Despite being down in the standings, it’s doable for New Orleans to sneak into the playoffs and give Zion Williamson a chance to win Rookie of the Year.
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