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Considering a best bet for the San Diego Padres 2020 win total

The Padres made some big moves to help raise their win total in what should be a tight NL West race. We’ll go over those and give some thoughts on their 2020 win total.

San Diego Padres shortstop Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a two RBI double during the third inning against the Colorado Rockies at Petco Park. Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports

The San Diego Padres continue to be one of the more intriguing teams in the National League as they build up not only at the major league level but in the minors as well. Despite just a 70-92 record in 2019, the future looks promising with a young rotation headed by Chris Paddack and a strong, young lineup with players like Fernando Tatis Jr., Manny Machado and Francisco Mejia. In a division that looks to be very competitive this season, the Padres may still not have all the pieces to make a run for it but they continue to build in the right direction.

Additions

SP Zach Davies
RP Drew Pomeranz
RP Pierce Johnson
OF Tommy Pham
IF Jake Cronenworth
IF Jurickson Profar
OF Trent Grisham
RP Emilio Pagan

Subtractions

RP C.J. Edwards
2B Ian Kinsler
OF Manuel Margot

Offseason news

The biggest move this offseason was the acquisition of OF Tommy Pham from the Rays. Wanting a jolt in their offense, they received a player who slashed 273/.369/.450 with 21 home runs, 68 RBI and 25 stolen bases in 145 games. He’ll be under team control for the next two seasons, in which he’d become a free agent. Pham should see plenty of pitches in his projected second spot in the lineup between Tatis and Machado, giving him ample opportunities to produce.

One underrated move was the acquisition of Trent Grisham and Zach Davies. Grisham was the centerpiece of this deal and is a young, 23-year-old outfield with tremendous upside. Last season in the majors with the Brewers, he slashed .231/.328/.410 with six home runs and 24 RBI through 51 games. His minor league numbers, however, are where the true upside really showed. In 34 games in Triple-A, he slashed .381/.471/.775 with 13 home runs and 30 RBI while swiping six bags. He has some serious potential to flourish in a full season and quickly dispel the disappointment of having to part with Luis Urias, whom the Padres sent to the Brewers.

The Padres also made a late trade this offseason, shipping off Manuel Margot and prospect Logan Driscoll for RHP Emilio Pagan. Pagan was stellar with the Rays last season, registering 20 saves through 66 appearances with a 96:13 K:BB ratio. He’ll serve as an extremely effective setup man in front of Kirby Yates who saved 41 games with 101 strikeouts through 60 2/3 innings last season.

Best bet

Despite making some key new additions, the Padres lineup and rotation remains relatively similar but should be even better. The DraftKings Sportsbook has San Diego’s win total set at 81.5, which is quite the jump for a team that won 70 games last season. Were the new acquisitions good for 13 more wins? I think so. As I mentioned, the NL West is going to be very competitive once again but the Rockies and Giants look to be going nowhere fast, leaving the Dodgers, Diamondbacks and Padres to duke it out. The Padres were mentioned in the Mookie Betts rumors, but he ended up joining the Dodgers. It makes the division that much more difficult, but the Padres win total still holds value.

Padres OVER 81.5 wins -122

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