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Considering a best bet for the Colorado Rockies 2020 win total

The Rockies ghosted the offseason as payroll restricted them immensely. What can we expect from this team ahead of the 2020 season?

Colorado Rockies third baseman Nolan Arenado reacts after striking out against the San Francisco Giants in the third inning at Oracle Park. John Hefti-USA TODAY Sports

Several teams in the National League West did their part to improve — like the Dodgers, Diamondbacks and Padres — the Rockies, well, didn’t. To be fair, this team has backed themselves into a corner and payroll is extremely restrictive, which is likely the biggest reason they’ve been silent during the winter months. We’ll dive into their lack of moves and what it could mean ahead of the 2020 season.

Additions

RP Tyler Kinley

Subtractions

N/A

Offseason news

The biggest offseason “news” came in the form of rumors and they involved their star third baseman Nolan Arenado. The 28-year-old expressed his frustrations with the team’s lack of moves this offseason and unwillingness to expand payroll. Four players command 59% of this team’s payroll this season with Arenado (24%; $35 million) Charlie Blackmon (14%; $21 million), Wade Davis (11%; $17 million) and Ian Desmond (10%; $15 million). Taking Arenado off the books would be beneficial to the long term financial outlook of the team but he does own a full no-trade clause. Even if a trade doesn’t go down, Arenado does have an opt-out after the 2021 season but it’s hard to imagine they make it that far.

The biggest reason for the Rockies woes last season was when they were away from Coors Field. No signs of any trash can banging at Coors Field last season but when they were on the road, they posted a dreadful 28-53 record. Remarkably, it wasn’t the worst road record in the league, as the Tigers held that honor with a 25-54 mark. The Rockies slashed just .230/.289/.388 with 92 home runs on the road. It’s something that needs to improve dramatically if they have any chance of hitting the over on their win total. For what it’s worth, Arenado had a .277/.346/.521 with 20 home runs on the road last season.

Best bet

I don’t think there is any other bet to consider besides the under on the 72.5 win total set on DraftKings Sportsbook. The Rockies think they desperately need to cut salary and I can’t imagine them not doing so during the season in some form. Is Arenado the way to do it? He would be with his $35 million salary and the potential package he would bring back. He’s also six years younger than Blackmon, who’ll turn 34 in July. Offloading Blackmon would likely be a much more difficult scenario being under contract at $21 million per year until the conclusion of the 2023 season. When we’re sitting here talking about what contracts should be offloaded before the season begins, you know you’re on the cusp of a season full of doom and gloom.

Colorado Rockies UNDER 72.5 wins

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