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Bucks-Heat recap: Middleton returns, Milwaukee falls on road

The Bucks got Khris Middleton back in the lineup, but were unable to take down the Heat in Miami. We recap Middleton’s fantasy performance.

Milwaukee Bucks forward Khris Middleton drives to the net past Toronto Raptors forward Pascal Siakam at Scotiabank Arena. Milwaukee defeated Toronto.  John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports

UPDATE: Heat vs. Bucks Recap — Despite the return of Middleton ($7,400), it was a rare bad night for the Bucks. They lost to the Heat by 16 points, snapping a six-game winning streak. Middleton looked a bit rusty after missing two games, playing just 27 minutes and scoring 23.25 DKFP. He had at least 30 DKFP in 16 consecutive games prior to tonight’s debacle. Expect Middleton and the Bucks to back on track sooner rather than later.

UPDATE: March 2, 6:04 p.m. — Middleton will play vs. the Heat.

UPDATE: March 2, 1:35 p.m. — Middleton is being listed as probable again due to the neck injury and it looks like he’ll get back into the lineup Monday vs. the Miami Heat. He was probable for Sunday afternoon’s game, but ended up sitting out. That was most likely due to the matchup and the back-to-back set. Middleton should return rested and will be a decent fantasy option.

UPDATE: March 1, 11:42 a.m. — Middleton will remain out for a second straight game when the Bucks play the Hornets on Sunday afternoon. Middleton’s absence didn’t stop Milwaukee from demolishing the Thunder at home. Because of this, the Bucks spread their rotation out to 13 people in that game. With Middleton out, Donte DiVincenzo started in his place, but wasn’t used as much due to the score. It’s hard to gauge who benefits considering this game against Charlotte could look similar to the one against OKC.

UPDATE: Feb. 28, 6:26 p.m.Middleton has been ruled out vs. the Thunder.

So this kind of throws a wrench in our plans for DFS on Friday’s 10-game slate. Middleton was in a decent spot, but now he won’t play. Giannis is going to be a trendy GPP play given the Thunder lack size and are on the second of a back-to-back. DiVincenzo is my favorite value of the bunch on Milwaukee.

There isn’t as much value in the better line, which has been taken down because of the news right now. I’d probably jump on the Bucks against the spread even with Middleton out. I think if it’s Bucks in the -8 or -9 range, that’s favorable. If the spread is still somewhat wide, the Thunder are appealing getting that many points. It may be best to just wait and bet the live lines in-game.

Milwaukee Bucks forward Khris Middleton was a late addition to the injury report Friday evening before the Bucks matchup with the Thunder at home. Middleton is dealing with a neck injury and is questionable to play.

Fantasy basketball and betting analysis: Khris Middleton injury

If Middleton is out, there’s a decent chance Donte DiVincenzo ends up starting in his place at SF. At $4,200, he’d be a solid value play on DraftKings. Giannis ($11,600) could end up being the top GPP if Middleton is out as well. This would give the Thunder a better shot of hanging in the game if Middleton can’t play.

For the betting side, the spread is 11.5 in favor of the Bucks on DraftKings Sportsbook. If Middleton is out, I’d say there’s value in the Thunder to cover that spread, but the Bucks are a great defensive team and are tough to beat at home. Plus, OKC is on the second night of a back-to-back set. The O/U is 228, so I’d see the UNDER as a solid play.

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