After an action packed 10-game slate on Monday, we have a bit more tame of a slate tonight. There are only four games on Tuesday, but that doesn’t mean we don’t have options. Damian Lillard is hotter than the sun, but will he be able to keep his run going in a tough matchup?
Damian Lillard, POR @ DEN, $10,300 — The Nuggets allow the eighth fewest DKFP to point guards. I don’t care. Dame is impossible to defend right now. He’s hitting contests threes from close to logo and there isn’t a defense or defender in the league that’s going to be make a difference against this kind of shot making. Lillard has at least 70 DKFP in seven straight games and is starting to make a legitimate case to be included in the MVP conversation.
James Harden, HOU vs. CHA, $12,000 — Just as hard as it is to ignore Lillard, it’s tough to look past the situation Harden find himself in tonight. Russell Westbrook is doubtful to play and Clint Capela has already been ruled out. With the two of them off the court, Harden has a ridiculous 49.2% usage rating and scores 71.15 DKFP per 36 minutes. He’s also playing extremely well after struggling a bit late in January. Harden has busted out of his slump by averaging 74 DKFP in his last two games.
Brandon Ingram, NOR vs. MIL, $7,000 — Small forward is the toughest position to fill tonight. There aren’t any expensive options I really like and there aren’t any obvious vale plays at the moment either. Looking for upside, Ingram makes some sense. He’s at his cheapest salary of the season and it looks like he’s figuring out how to be productive playing alongside Zion Williamson. When Zion first debuted, Ingram’s usage took a pretty big hit. In the last few games, his production has bounced back. Ingram has at least 36 DKFP in three straight games.
Zion Williamson, NOR vs. MIL, $7,100 — He’s a wrecking ball. In Zion’s short career, we haven’t seen him have a bad game yet and he rarely misses shots. He’s made over half of his field goal attempts in all six of his career games. The question becomes, what is a fair price for Williamson? The first pick in the draft has played limited minutes to starts his career, which no longer seems to be an issue after he played 33 minutes last game. So far, he’s averaging 33.54 DKFP in 26.3 minutes per game. Assuming he gets up to 35 minutes on regular basis, this would put Zion at 44.63 DKFP as a baseline at his current per minute production. A $7,100 is much too cheap and he should likely be priced around the $9k mark.
Anthony Davis, LAL vs. SAS, $9,300 — Since the Lakers are sizable favorites, there is a decent amount of blowout risk in this game. The Spurs are playing on the tail end of a back-to-back, which is part of the reason for a double-digit spread. This makes Davis more of a GPP than cash play. Despite the risk, the upside might be worth it. Davis likely won’t have the same ownership as Lillard or Harden, but his upside in comparable. Two games ago, he nearly matched Dame in a matchup against the Blazers and scored 78.25 DKFP. The Spurs allow the third most DKFP to power forwards and AD is quite a bit cheaper than the stud guards on this slate.
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