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Considering a best bet for the Baltimore Orioles 2020 win total

Orioles fans hoping for a winning 2020 season are likely going to put those dreams on hold. Locked in a rebuild, the Orioles continue to look toward the future and not for the “now.”

Baltimore Orioles left fielder Trey Mancini rounds the bases after hitting a home run during the ninth inning against the Baltimore Orioles at Fenway Park. Bob DeChiara-USA TODAY Sports

Baltimore Orioles fans didn’t have much to cheer for last season as they watched their team post a 54-108 record, which as you can imagine, was the worst in the AL East. Still, it was an improvement from 2018 when they went 47-115 and nearly tied the record for the most losses by a team during the regular season. 2020 is where their fortunes turn around though, right? RIGHT!?

Additions

SP Kohl Stewart
SP Marcos Diplan
P Travis Lakins
RP Cole Sulser
2B Ramon Urias
SS Jose Iglesias
SS Andrew Velazquez
SS Richard Urena

Subtractions

SP Dylan Bundy
P Aaron Brooks
2B Jonathan Villar

Offseason news

As if the offseason was telling enough, the Orioles are going to continue to focus on rebuilding for the future. They traded away two important parts of their team, as Dylan Bundy was shipped to the Angels for a haul of prospects and Jonathan Villar was traded to the Marlins for prospect Easton Lucas. If you’re in the front office of the Orioles, you certainly accomplished what your long term mission for this team is. If you’re a fan of the Orioles, it’s hard to see your team putting out a competitive lineup on a given night.

The biggest downfall of the Orioles last season was pitching. Despite moving on from Bundy, they will get some help in the rotation. Believe it or not, they were able to woo some free agents to their team and Kohl Stewart was one of them. Despite being the number four overall pick in 2013, Stewart has pitched nothing like it and has struggled during his tenure with the Twins. Luckily for the Orioles, they got him on the cheap on a one-year, $800,000 contract. For a team that desperately needs pitching, he’ll find a role somewhere. While it’s hard to find a lot of positives with Stewart, he does well at keeping the ball on the ground.

The lineup will also be a major issue this season. The loss of Villar will be felt, especially with power. This team could really struggle in that department and quite frankly may only have two or three hitters that can hit 20+ home runs. They were 23rd in the league in home runs last season, a number that should dip in 2020. In a division that likely will be dominated by the Yankees and Rays, it’s hard to think the Orioles are going to win many games in the division, something they posted a 24-52 in last season.

Best bet

As you can imagine, we don’t exactly have a lofty win total for the Orioles in 2020. According to DraftKings Sportsbook, the Orioles are set at 56.5, which if you were to hit the over, would be three more wins than they had in 2019. Is it possible? It certainly is considering it’s right in their wheelhouse. With that said, do you REALLY want to be sweating the over on an Orioles season? I certainly don’t. The under is currently at a -118 while the over is at -106. When looking at the landscape of the AL East, two teams are trending up — the Yankees and Rays — while the others are trending down, with the possible exception of the Blue Jays. Bad teams can beat up on bad teams but the Orioles pitching is going to be their biggest downfall coupled with a lack of power.

This could be another long, long season for the Orioles and the rebuild mode win later mentality isn’t helping if you’re hoping for wins. With all that said, the under is the only way to go here.

Baltimore Orioles UNDER 56.5 wins

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