As the college basketball season wears on, we can see teams moving up and down the odds board to win the 2020 NCAA Final Four. Generally, if you’re trending in the right direction, the odds will go with you. And of course if it’s falling apart fast, that can go the other way as well.
Let’s take a look at some of the biggest movers in college basketball national championship movers over the last two weeks.
They were +900 two weeks ago, and are now the favorites by themselves at +600. They’re No. 1 by all the computers, and haven’t lost since January 11th. Plus their path to the No. 1 overall seed in the tournament has never been stronger, with a serious upset needed before they likely face Baylor in the Big 12 title game to dethrone them. Devin Dotson and Udoka Azubuike should guide the Jayhawks deep in the tournament for sure, but can they keep it rolling for six more games is the question.
They’ve lost three of their last five, including to teams like NC State and Wake Forest that are going to miss the tournament. And it’s why they’ve gone from +1100 to +2000 to win it all. They’ve got a terrific inside-outside combo in Tre Jones and Vernon Carey, but it doesn’t seem to be enough to impress the bettors on them turning it around. There might be some value here if they can win the ACC Tournament and slide into the East Region as a No. 2 seed.
Their only loss this season, to a pretty bad UNLV team at home, doesn’t seem to be scaring the bettors, who have driven down the price on the Mountain West’s best team from +2200 to +1500. It looks like they’ll be sent East as a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament if both they and Gonzaga win out, but that doesn’t seem to be too concerning as avoiding Kansas and Baylor as long as possible should be the goal. Malachi Flynn and his team can play with anyone in America.
They’ve won three of their last four, including an OT win at Arizona with Nico Mannion, but it doesn’t seem to be impressing potential backers. Payton Pritchard and the Quack Attack have gone from +2000 to +3000 over that same span. It might be a general lack of faith in the PAC-12, especially with Arizona falling apart. Speaking of...
Going from +3000 to +4000 isn’t actually that bad when you consider they’ve lost three in a row, two of which to teams that potentially will miss the NCAA Tournament. Getting swept by UCLA was certainly unexpected and Sean Miller’s charges don’t look themselves as of late. But one hot PAC-12 Tournament run, and they’ve certainly won in Las Vegas before, should get this number back closer to expectations.
The following odds are all from DraftKings Sportsbook for the 2020 college basketball national championship:
NCAA national title odds
|Team||Odds 3/4||Odds 2/19|
|Team||Odds 3/4||Odds 2/19|
|San Diego State||+1500||+2200|
|East Tennessee State||+10000||+20000|
|New Mexico State||+15000||+30000|
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