Trae Young, Atlanta Hawks vs. Charlotte Hornets ($10,300) — With just three games, stud options at PG are limited, and Young is easily the top option if looking to pay up at point guard. Despite allowing less points per game to opponents than average due to a slow pace, the Hornets have been poor in a few areas that Young could potentially take advantage of. Charlotte has allowed the most assists per game to opponents and has been poor at defending the 3-point line, allowing more made 3s per game than average while allowing extra space at the 3-point line. Charlotte has allowed the fourth most wide-open 3s per game based on the league’s player tracking system, which measures the closest defender to the shooter. Young is shooting 44% on wide-open looks from 3 this season, better than his season average of 36% on all 3s.
Terry Rozier, Charlotte Hornets at Atlanta Hawks ($6,600) — The Hawks have been one of the league’s worst defensive teams, allowing the second most points to opponents while allowing more assists than average. Rozier’s fantasy value can be in part diminished by Charlotte’s glacially slow pace, which ranks last in the league, but the Hawks’ fast pace may increase fantasy opportunities for Rozier on Monday due to more possessions.
Khris Middleton, Milwaukee Bucks at Denver Nuggets ($7,600) — Like teammate Eric Bledsoe, Middleton is a strong candidate for a big increase in role with Giannis Antetokounmpo out. Middleton’s usage rate rises to a heavy 32% in minutes with Antetokounmpo off the court, up from 21% in minutes with Antetokounmpo on the court. Middleton scored 47 DKFP and took 26 shots with Antetokounmpo out on Sunday, 11 more shots than his season average of 15 per game.
John Collins, Atlanta Hawks vs. Charlotte Hornets ($9,000) — The Hornets have been poor inside, allowing the fourth most made field goals per game within five feet of the basket, the zone that Collins attempts most of his shots. Charlotte has also been poor on the glass, ranking as the league’s fifth worst rebounding team by the percentage of missed shots rebounded. Collins could take advantage of this matchup by punishing the Hornets near the basket for points and rebounds.
Nikola Jokic, Denver Nuggets vs. Milwaukee Bucks ($9,500) — Milwaukee’s defense has been ridiculously elite on a possession adjusted basis, but their defense has not been nearly as strong with Giannis Antetokounmpo off the court, allowing eight more points per 100 possessions with Antetokounmpo on the sidelines. With the Nuggets not having to worry about Antetokounmpo’s length and basket protection, Jokic could find an easier time generating points and assists. The Bucks have also continued to play an elite pace with Antetokounmpo off the court, which could help create extra possessions for Jokic to record fantasy points.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is timfinn521) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.