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Offensive Rookie of the Year odds after the NFL Draft

We break down how the NFL Draft has affected the NFL’s 2020 Offensive Rookie of Year candidates.

LSU Tigers quarterback Joe Burrow against the Clemson Tigers in the College Football Playoff national championship game at Mercedes-Benz Superdome.  Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

We’re through the 2020 NFL Draft, and we’ve seen Offensive Rookie of the Year odds change following the seven-round draft. Joe Burrow was the front runner before the draft as the consensus top pick, and that hasn’t changed. But there are other candidates who could challenge him. We take a look at the odds of the favorites, risers, fallers, and sleepers at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Favorites

Joe Burrow, +215

Burrow was +250 before he was selected by the Cincinnati Bengals with No. 1 pick, and he’s seen his odds improve to +215 since the conclusion of the draft. The Bengals built on their solid receiving corp by adding a big target in Clemson’s Tee Higgins with the first pick of the second round. The more weapons Burrow has, the more dangerous.

Tua Tagovailoa, +700

There’s a big drop off between first and second in the odds. Some expected Tagovailoa to fall back in the draft because of his hip injury, but he passed a Miami Dolphins physical ahead of the draft and they selected him with the No. 5 pick. His pre-draft odds have improved from +1000 despite Miami’s struggling offensive line and lack of a run game. But, Tagovailoa has elite playmaking ability that’s hard to find.

Risers

Clyde Edwards-Helaire, +700

Edwards-Helaire’s odds improved significantly since the Kansas City Chiefs unexpectedly drafted him at No. 32. His original odds of +1600 soared to +700 thanks to how much the Chiefs value pass-catching running backs. Even though he has a ton of other talent on his team and could be working as part of a committee with Damien Williams, his versatility gives him a ton of upside. Everyone will have their eyes on the reigning champs and Edwards-Helaire should get his fair share of scoring opportunities. Andy Reid’s fascination can’t be ignored.

AJ Dillon, +4000

Dillon doesn’t have the best odds with the Green Bay Packers, playing behind Aaron Jones, but he’s much better off than he was before the draft. His pre-draft odds were +10000. I wouldn’t put too much faith in him because of his inaptitude for catching though.

Fallers

D’Andre Swift, +1200

Swift had the second best pre-draft odds (+700), but has slipped to fourth after falling to the Detroit Lions in the second round. The Lions are a pass-oriented team and haven’t had a player go over 700 rushing yards in a season since 2014. Swift will also have to compete with Kerryon Johnson for touches, so things aren’t looking great for him.

Jonathan Taylor, +1000

Taylor had the third best pre-draft odds (+800) but appears posed to be a backup for the Indianapolis Colts. Marlon Mack rushed for over 1,000 yards last season and the team brought on Philip Rivers and some wide receivers to improve its passing prowess in 2020. Taylor could be a valuable contributor as a change-of-pace back, but he probably won’t do enough to be among the finalists for Rookie of the Year.

Sleeper

Henry Ruggs III, +1800

Ruggs had the sixth best odds (+2000) and was even with the likes of CeeDee Lamb and Cam Akers ahead of the draft before he unexpectedly became the first wide receiver taken in the draft. The Las Vegas Raiders grabbed him at No. 12, which makes it seem like he’s poised to be their WR1. While he’s not the most polished wide receiver in the class, his blazing speed could help him become a star in year one. Ruggs’ main competition will be Darren Waller, but the rookie has a ton of upside.

2020 OROY Odds

Player Apr 23 pre-draft odds April 27 odds
Player Apr 23 pre-draft odds April 27 odds
Joe Burrow +250 +215
Tua Tagovailoa +1000 +700
Clyde Edwards-Helaire +1600 +700
Jonathan Taylor +800 +1000
D'Andre Swift +700 +1200
Justin Herbert +1100 +1400
Jerry Jeudy +1600 +1400
J.K. Dobbins +1000 +1600
CeeDee Lamb +2000 +1800
Henry Ruggs III +2000 +1800
Cam Akers +2000 +2000
Jalen Reagor +5000 +2000
Justin Jefferson +3300 +2500
Ke'Shaun Vaughn XXX +2500
Brandon Aiyuk +5000 +3300
A.J. Dillon +10000 +4000
Michael Pittman Jr +10000 +5000
Zack Moss +2000 +6600
Tee Higgins +5000 +6600
Cole Kmet +6600 +6600
Denzel Mims +3300 +8000
Jalen Hurts +10000 +8000
Jordan Love +2500 +10000
Laviska Shenault Jr. +5000 +10000
K.J. Hamler +6000 +10000
Jake Fromm +10000 +10000
Anthony McFarland +10000 +10000
Donovan Peoples-Jones +10000 +10000
Adam Trautman +10000 +10000
Chase Claypool +10000 +10000
Eno Benjamin +5000 +15000
Antonio Gibson +5000 +15000
Lynn Bowden Jr. +8000 +15000
Jacob Eason +10000 +15000
Brycen Hopkins +10000 +15000

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