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Updated Hernandez-Dober odds, betting splits
In a lightweight matchup of fighters that need a victory to make some noise in their division, Alexander Hernandez takes on Drew Dober at UFC Jacksonville on Wednesday night at the VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena.
Hernandez is ranked #15 in the lightweight division, and is 11-2 in his MMA career. He’s won two of his last three fights, with the loss being to veteran Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone last January. A balanced fighter, he’s won 40% of his fights by KO or TKO, 40% by decision, and 20% by submission. Ring rust might be a factor here, as he hasn’t been in the octagon since July of last year against Francisco Trinaldo.
Dober looks to crack the rankings following back-to-back first-round KO wins over Polo Reyes and Nasrat Haqparast. The 32-year-old southpaw veteran has been with UFC since 2008, with a 9-5 record with one no contest in that time. He’s mostly a striker that averages less than one takedown per 15 minutes of octagon time.
Here are the odds for Alex Hernandez vs. Drew Dober at UFC Fight Night on ESPN on May 13th
Hernandez vs. Dober UFC Fight Night odds
| Info | Alexander Hernandez | Drew Dober |
|---|---|---|
| Info | Alexander Hernandez | Drew Dober |
| Record | 11-2 | 22-9, 1 NC |
| ML Odds | +100 | -125 |
| To Go the Distance | Yes (-139) | No (+105) |
| Win by KO, TKO, or DQ | +550 | +240 |
| To Win by Submission | +900 | +1600 |
| To Win by Decision | +185 | +260 |
| ML Splits by handle | 28% | 72% |
| ML Splits by bets | 47% | 53% |
| By KO, TKO or DQ handle | 46% | 7% |
| By KO, TKO or DQ bets | 27% | 7% |
| By Submission handle | 5% | 11% |
| By Submission bets | 4% | 9% |
| By Decision handle | 6% | 23% |
| By Decision bets | 9% | 42% |
| Tie (+8000) | <1% | <1% |
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