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Tale of the tape for Alexander Hernandez vs. Drew Dober

Alexander Hernandez and Drew Dober square off in a lightweight matchup at UFC Fight Night on ESPN on May 13th. We break down the odds.

Drew Dober celebrates the win in his lightweight fight during the UFC 246 event at T-Mobile Arena on January 18, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

Updated Hernandez-Dober odds, betting splits

In a lightweight matchup of fighters that need a victory to make some noise in their division, Alexander Hernandez takes on Drew Dober at UFC Jacksonville on Wednesday night at the VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena.

Hernandez is ranked #15 in the lightweight division, and is 11-2 in his MMA career. He’s won two of his last three fights, with the loss being to veteran Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone last January. A balanced fighter, he’s won 40% of his fights by KO or TKO, 40% by decision, and 20% by submission. Ring rust might be a factor here, as he hasn’t been in the octagon since July of last year against Francisco Trinaldo.

Dober looks to crack the rankings following back-to-back first-round KO wins over Polo Reyes and Nasrat Haqparast. The 32-year-old southpaw veteran has been with UFC since 2008, with a 9-5 record with one no contest in that time. He’s mostly a striker that averages less than one takedown per 15 minutes of octagon time.

Here are the odds for Alex Hernandez vs. Drew Dober at UFC Fight Night on ESPN on May 13th

Hernandez vs. Dober UFC Fight Night odds

Info Alexander Hernandez Drew Dober
Info Alexander Hernandez Drew Dober
Record 11-2 22-9, 1 NC
ML Odds +100 -125
To Go the Distance Yes (-139) No (+105)
Win by KO, TKO, or DQ +550 +240
To Win by Submission +900 +1600
To Win by Decision +185 +260
ML Splits by handle 28% 72%
ML Splits by bets 47% 53%
By KO, TKO or DQ handle 46% 7%
By KO, TKO or DQ bets 27% 7%
By Submission handle 5% 11%
By Submission bets 4% 9%
By Decision handle 6% 23%
By Decision bets 9% 42%
Tie (+8000) <1% <1%

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