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How the public is betting Claudia Gadelha vs. Angela Hill [UPDATE]

Claudia Gadelha and Angela Hill meet in a women’s strawweight bout at UFC on ESPN 8 on May 16th. We break down how the betting public is picking the fight.

Claudia Gadelha and Angela Hill face off during the official UFC Fight Night weigh-in on May 15, 2020 in Jacksonville, Florida. Photo by Cooper Neill/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

Update: Claudia Gadelha wins by split decision. It was a very close right, but the Brazilian claims it 29-28 on two cards.

Saturday 3:55 p.m. update: We’ve added in the betting splits for various methods of victory for each fighter. The biggest numbers have bettors thinking Gadelha claims a decision, with a solid sprinkling of betting on Gadelha via submission.

Saturday, 1:30 p.m. update: The betting public loves Gadelha in this fight, and we’re seeing the action grow as we get closer to the start of the event. She was at 59% of the handle and 76% of the bets. We’ve seen her handle percentage climb to nearly 23 of the total, while her total bets remains at 34.

The only women’s fight on the main card of UFC on ESPN 8 tonight will feature Claudia Gadelha vs. Angela Hill in the strawweight division from the VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena in Jacksonville.

Gadelha is the #6-ranked strawweight, and has a 17-4 MMA record. The Brazilian is 6-4 in UFC, with nine of those fights going the distance. The three-time BJJ world champion defeated Randa Markos in July, and will need a win here to get a shot at the title.

Hill is unranked with a 12-7 career record, but the 35-year-old has won her last three fights. A former World Kickboxing Association champ, she has yet to submit an opponent in 14 fights, and tends to work on her feet.

Gadelha is a very public favorite as of now, with 76% of the bets but only 59% of the handle behind her. This could be a great spot to bet on a stoppage from both fighters in their favorite way: Gadelha at +500 by submission, and Hill at +750 to win by KO, TKO, or DQ. It would pay a nice price either way and lean into both fighters specific styles.

Here are the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Claudia Gadelha vs. Angela Hill at UFC on ESPN 8 on May 16th:

Gadelha vs. Hill betting splits

Info Claudia Gadelha Angela Hill
Info Claudia Gadelha Angela Hill
Record 17-4 12-7
ML Odds -190 +150
To Go the Distance Yes (-335) No (+225)
Win by KO, TKO, or DQ +1000 +750
To Win by Submission +500 +1600
To Win by Decision -106 +250
ML split by handle 64% 36%
ML split by bets 75% 25%
By KO, TKO, DQ handle 3% 8%
By KO, TKO, DQ bets 4% 16%
By Submission handle 15% 1%
By Submission bets 13% 1%
By Decision handle 64% 8%
By Decision bets 57% 9%
Tie 1% handle 1% bets

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