Breaking down early Titans point spreads

The NFL released the 2020 schedule and the Tennessee Titans look to build on a surprisingly successful 2019 season when they travel to face the Broncos on Monday Night Football. The Titans are +150 to win the AFC South, sitting just behind the +140 Colts. Tennessee’s preseason win total is installed at 8.5 with -121 odds on the over and +100 odds on the under.

DraftKings Sportsbook posted all the Week 1 point spreads the evening of the schedule release, and they have since added nearly 100 additional games throughout the season. DK does big business in New Jersey and Colorado, so it is no surprise they have all 16 lines for the Giants, Jets, Eagles, and Broncos. However, they have multiple lines for other teams as well. For the Titans, we get three additional lines, including a primetime matchup with the Colts.

Point spreads

Week 1: MNF @ Broncos (+1.5)
Week 4: vs. Steelers (-3)
Week 10: TNF vs. Colts (-2.5)
Week 12: @ Colts (-3)

Most likely cover

Derrick Henry and the Titans run game will again be the catalyst for the Titans offense, so games in which he has a good opportunity to get going will be their best shot for success. The Broncos on the road in Week 1 look like a good team to face. They are young, with multiple first and second-year players playing at home likely without fans. The Texans, when they get rolling on the ground are hard to contend with and I expect the Broncos to have trouble in Week 1.

Most likely fail to cover

The Titans will take on the Steelers at home in Week 4, which on paper will be tough, as the Steelers are one of the best defenses against the run and defense usually travels better than offense. As three-point favorites, the Titans won’t have much room for mistakes against a strong defense and with Ben Roethlisberger back, the Steelers offense should be back to above average at worst.

Line most likely to change

The Titans play the division rival Colts in Week 10 at home and again in Week 12 in Indianapolis. The Titans are favorites in both, but the Colts have a new quarterback in Philip Rivers, who could have that offense running pretty well by then. If Rivers gets a second wind in Indiana, there’s a real chance the odds inch back toward them as favorites, especially at home.

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