Biggest Super Bowl odds movers this offseason

Now that free agency and the NFL draft have wrapped up, the NFL Super Bowl odds are likely set barring injuries or trades. As you peruse this year’s football odds at DraftKings Sportsbook, you’ll notice that Kansas City Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens sit atop the odds to take the next Super Bowl, but, the 49ers, Saints, and Buccaneers aren’t too far behind. Below, we take a look at some of the biggest movers in Super Bowl odds for this season.

Moving on up

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1300)

Before signing Tom Brady, the Bucs were +5000 to win the Super Bowl. Brady’s arrival moved that number to +2000 and then by the time the draft was done, they were up to +1300. That puts them tied with the Saints for the fourth most-likely team to take the title in 2020. The time to get this wager was when it started looking plausible that Brady would end up in Tampa Bay. At this point, there’s not much value there.

Indianapolis Colts (+2800)

The arrival of Philip Rivers boosted the Colts Super Bowl odds from +4000 to +2800, as the oddsmakers believe Rivers is an upgrade over Jacoby Brissett. Yes, Rivers did not look his best in 2019 for the Chargers, but the Colts offense looks like one that Rivers should excel in, so I’m on board with this change while they are still at a good enough number to turn a nice profit.

Arizona Cardinals (+5000)

The Cardinals addition of DeAndre Hopkins and subtraction of David Johnson, helped push their offseason odds to win the big game from +6600 to +5000. Many, including myself, believed Kyler Murray was already going to take a step forward in 2020 but the addition of Hopkins will make it nearly impossible for him not to now. Winning the Super Bowl is a different ball of wax but it’s not as crazy as it sounded just a few months ago.

Moving on down

Houston Texans (+5000)

The Texans were at +3300 following the Super Bowl, but through the offseason, in which they traded away DeAndre Hopkins for David Johnson, their odds fell to +5000. Bill O’Brien tried to scramble to fill the enormous hole Hopkins left with Randall Cobb and Brandin Cooks, but the patchwork job didn’t convince the oddsmakers.

New England Patriots (+2200)

The loss of Tom Brady and a humdrum offseason pushed the Patriots from +1400 to win the 2020 Super Bowl back in February to +2200 today. Unless Bill Belichick is going to take snaps from center this season, I don’t see why a Jarrett Stidham led team has the same or better odds to win the Super Bowl than Russell Wilson, Kirk Cousins, Aaron Rodgers, Ben Roethlisberger and Philip Rivers.

Green Bay Packers (+2800)

After going 13-3 and winning their division, the Packers were +1800 to win the 2020 Super Bowl, ranking them seventh on the list. After a lackluster free agency and draft, that number shot up to +2800, pushing them to 11th on the list. It’s hard to know what’s going on with the Packers management, but they did their best to not give Aaron Rodgers any new targets this offseason. Instead of helping Rodgers and the passing game, they drafted QB Jordan Love in the first round and added another running back to the fold. Those additions look more like a team that wants to transition away from the pass and start anew.

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